{"id":24037,"date":"2026-07-02T04:37:42","date_gmt":"2026-07-02T04:37:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=24037"},"modified":"2026-07-02T04:37:42","modified_gmt":"2026-07-02T04:37:42","slug":"daily-commentary-423","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/daily-commentary-423-20260702\/","title":{"rendered":"XAU\/USD \u5728 $4,000 \u4e0a\u65b9\u7372\u5f97\u652f\u6490\uff0c\u4f46\u7f8e\u570b\u975e\u8fb2\u5c31\u696d\u6578\u64da\u624d\u662f\u95dc\u9375"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>\u96a8\u8457\u5e02\u5834\u76ee\u5149\u5168\u6578\u805a\u7126\u65bc\u7f8e\u570b\u975e\u8fb2\u5c31\u696d\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u91d1\u50f9\u7dad\u6301\u5728$4,000\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u5148\u524d\u53cd\u5f48\u6c34\u5e73\u3002.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u975e\u8fb2\u6578\u64da\u516c\u5e03\u524d\u7372\u5229\u4e86\u7d50\u4ee5\u53ca\u5c0d\u7f8e\u4f0a\u6703\u8ac7\u7684\u6a02\u89c0\u60c5\u7dd2\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u4e0b\uff0c\u5927\u5e45\u56de\u843d\u3002.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u9ec3\u91d1\u6280\u8853\u9762\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u9451\u65bc\u76f8\u5c0d\u5f37\u5f31\u6307\u6578\uff08RSI\uff09\u5448\u770b\u8dcc\u5f62\u614b\u4ee5\u53ca\u51fa\u73fe\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4ea4\u53c9\uff0c\u9810\u793a\u8457\u300c\u9022\u9ad8\u8ce3\u51fa\u300d\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u6a5f\u6703\u3002.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u9ec3\u91d1\u6709\u671b\u5728\u9031\u56db\u65e9\u76e4\u5ef6\u7e8c\u5148\u524d\u53cd\u5f48\u8d70\u52e2\uff0c\u7a81\u7834 $4,000 \u95dc\u5361\uff0c\u800c\u4e0b\u4e00\u6ce2\u91cd\u5927\u8d70\u52e2\u5c07\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u95dc\u9375\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u975e\u8fb2\u5c31\u696d\u5831\u544a\uff08NFP\uff09\u6578\u64da\u767c\u5e03\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u9ec3\u91d1\u9023\u7e8c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u65e5\u7dad\u6301\u4e0a\u884c\u52d5\u80fd\uff0c\u6b64\u524d\u66fe\u591a\u6b21\u5728$3,950\u5340\u9593\uff08\u5373\u4e03\u500b\u6708\u4f4e\u9ede\uff09\u9644\u8fd1\u5438\u5f15\u5230\u65b0\u8cb7\u76e4\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u9ec3\u91d1\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0a\u6f32\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u53d7\u5230\u9694\u591c\u7f8e\u5143\uff08USD\uff09\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u652f\u6490\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u7f8e\u570b6\u6708ISM\u88fd\u9020\u696d\u63a1\u8cfc\u7d93\u7406\u4eba\u6307\u6578\uff08PMI\uff09\u7d50\u679c\u905c\u65bc\u9810\u671f\u768453.3\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u806f\u6e96\u6703\uff08Fed\uff09\u4e3b\u5e2d\u51f1\u6587\u00b7\u6c83\u8a31\uff08Kevin Warsh\uff09\u6de1\u5316\u901a\u81a8\u64d4\u6182\u4e4b\u5f8c\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u83ef\u8a31\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8fd1\u671f\u901a\u81a8\u9810\u671f\u7de9\u548c\u8b93\u4ed6\u611f\u5230\u9f13\u821e\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u96a8\u5373\u88dc\u5145\u8aaa\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u5c07\u6703\u5c65\u884c\u5176\u7269\u50f9\u7a69\u5b9a\u4f7f\u547d\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u65b0\u4efb\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u4e3b\u5e2d\u50b3\u9054\u4e86\u6eab\u548c\u9df9\u6d3e\u7684\u8a0a\u606f\uff0c\u5176FXS SpeechTracker\u8a55\u5206\u70ba5.6\/10\uff0c\u96d6\u7121\u6cd5\u8207\u6b77\u53f2\u5e73\u5747\u503c\u9032\u884c\u6bd4\u8f03\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u660e\u78ba\u986f\u793a\u5176\u5c07\u50f9\u683c\u7a69\u5b9a\u5217\u70ba\u91cd\u9ede\u3002 \u806f\u6e96\u6703\u8868\u793a\u5c07\u300c\u958b\u95e2\u65b0\u8def\u5f91\u300d\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u62d2\u7d55\u63d0\u4f9b\u524d\u77bb\u6027\u6307\u5f15\uff0c\u9019\u9805\u95dc\u9375\u8a00\u8ad6\u51f8\u986f\u4e86\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u6b63\u8f49\u5411\u4f9d\u8cf4\u6578\u64da\u4e14\u5177\u5f48\u6027\u7684\u6a21\u5f0f\uff1b\u5118\u7ba1\u6c83\u4ec0\u5f37\u8abf\uff0c\u82e5\u901a\u81a8\u9ad8\u65bc 2% \u5c07\u4ee4\u592e\u884c\u5931\u671b\uff0c\u4e26\u6307\u51fa\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u672a\u4f86\u7269\u50f9\u52d5\u614b\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u9a45\u52d5\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u4f46\u8a72\u56e0\u7d20\u76ee\u524d\u4ecd\u5728\u8a55\u4f30\u4e2d\u3002 \u6c83\u4ec0\u5f37\u8abf\u7a69\u5065\u7684\u52de\u52d5\u5e02\u5834\u3001\u5805\u5be6\u7684\u4f9b\u7d66\u9762\u4ee5\u53ca\u901a\u81a8\u9810\u671f\u7684\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u9019\u5f37\u5316\u4e86\u8b39\u614e\u6a02\u89c0\u7684\u57fa\u8abf\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u5fb9\u5e95\u7684\u9d3f\u6d3e\u7acb\u5834\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>FXS\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u60c5\u7dd2\u6307\u6578\u672a\u8b8a\uff0c\u79fb\u52d50.00\u9ede\u81f3\u4ecd\u504f\u9df9\u6d3e\u7684123.64\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u6f14\u8b1b\u4e26\u672a\u5be6\u8cea\u6027\u6539\u8b8a\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u653f\u7b56\u50be\u5411\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u3002\u7a69\u5b9a\u7684\u9ad8\u6307\u6578\u8b80\u6578\u548c\u4e2d\u7b49\u7bc4\u570d\u7684FXS Speechtracker\u5206\u6578\u7684\u7d50\u5408\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u6301\u7e8c\u8a8d\u70ba\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5805\u5b9a\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u63a7\u5236\u901a\u8139\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u83ef\u8a31\u8b39\u614e\u4e0d\u63d0\u4f9b\u660e\u78ba\u7684\u672a\u4f86\u6307\u5c0e\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u4e9b\u56e0\u7d20\u4e00\u540c\u58d3\u4f4e\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u548c\u77ed\u671f\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u50b5\u6536\u76ca\u7387\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u4e0d\u7522\u751f\u6536\u76ca\u7684\u9ec3\u91d1\u5f97\u4ee5\u5927\u5e45\u56de\u5347\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u7da0\u7f8e\u5143\u8fd1\u671f\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u52d5\u529b\u4f86\u81ea\u5c0d\u7f8e\u4f0a\u548c\u5e73\u8ac7\u5224\u91cd\u71c3\u7684\u6a02\u89c0\u60c5\u7dd2\u3002\u64da CNN \u65b0\u805e\u5831\u5c0e\uff0c\u5361\u9054\u9031\u4e09\u665a\u9593\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u901a\u904e\u8abf\u89e3\u4eba\u9032\u884c\u7684\u7f8e\u4f0a\u8ac7\u5224\u4eba\u54e1\u5728\u591a\u54c8\u8209\u884c\u7684\u6703\u8b70\u300c\u5728\u8207\u8ad2\u89e3\u5099\u5fd8\u9304 (MoU) \u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u554f\u984c\u4e0a\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u7a4d\u6975\u9032\u5c55\u300d\uff0c\u96d9\u65b9\u540c\u610f\u7e7c\u7e8c\u8a0e\u8ad6\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u71b1\u5207\u7b49\u5f85\u9031\u56db\u516c\u4f48\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u5e02\u5834\u5831\u544a\uff0c\u8a72\u5831\u544a\u9810\u8a08\u5c07\u91cd\u7533\u4eca\u5e74\u81f3\u5c11\u52a0\u606f\u5169\u6b21\u7684\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u9ec3\u91d1\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u4ecd\u7136\u50be\u5411\u65bc\u4e0b\u884c\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u9031\u4e94\u6176\u795d\u7368\u7acb\u65e5\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5c31\u696d\u5831\u544a\u5c07\u65bc\u672c\u9031\u56db\u767c\u5e03\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u64da\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u5546\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u96c6\u5718\uff08CME Group\uff09\u7684\u300cFedWatch\u300d\u5de5\u5177\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u76ee\u524d\u5c079\u6708\u5347\u606f\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\u5b9a\u50f9\u70ba\u7d0480%\uff0c\u4e14\u9810\u671f\u4eca\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u9084\u6703\u6709\u5169\u6b21\u5347\u606f\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u7e7c 5 \u6708\u4efd\u5f37\u52c1\u589e\u52a0 172,000 \u500b\u8077\u4f4d\u5f8c\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf 6 \u6708\u4efd\u9810\u8a08\u5c07\u65b0\u589e 110,000 \u500b\u8077\u4f4d\u3002\u5728\u5831\u544a\u671f\u9593\u5167\uff0c\u5931\u696d\u7387\u9810\u8a08\u5c07\u7dad\u6301\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u70ba 4.3%\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u5f37\u65bc\u9810\u671f\u7684\u975e\u8fb2\u5c31\u696d\u6578\u64da\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u52a0\u5f37\u9df9\u6d3e\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5347\u606f\u7684\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u5f9e\u800c\u63d0\u632f\u7f8e\u5143\u548c\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u50b5\u6536\u76ca\u7387\uff0c\u4f46\u6703\u640d\u53ca\u9ec3\u91d1\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u8a72\u6578\u64da\u610f\u5916\u75b2\u8edf\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u4fc3\u4f7f\u5e02\u5834\u524a\u6e1b\u5c0d\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5347\u606f\u7684\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u70ba\u91d1\u50f9\u5f9e\u6578\u6708\u4f4e\u9ede\u7684\u53cd\u5f48\u63d0\u4f9b\u984d\u5916\u7684\u52d5\u529b\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u53d7\u4e94\u6708\u4efd\u90a3\u4efd\u8f5f\u52d5\u4e00\u6642\u7684\u975e\u8fb2\u5c31\u696d\u5831\u544a\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u91d1\u50f9\u4e00\u5ea6\u66b4\u8dcc\u8d85\u904e 3%\u3002.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"390\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-02-1024x390.png\" alt=\"Gold Technical Analysis\" class=\"wp-image-24038\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-02-1024x390.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-02-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-02-768x292.png 768w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-02-1536x585.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-02-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-02.png 1647w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>\u5728\u65e5\u7dda\u5716\u4e0a\uff0cXAU\/USD \u5831 $4,062.07\uff0c\u8dcc\u52e2\u6301\u7e8c\u64f4\u5927\uff0c\u5df2\u9060\u4f4e\u65bc\u6240\u6709\u4e3b\u8981\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u8d70\u52e2\u4ecd\u504f\u7a7a\u3002 \u73fe\u8ca8\u9ec3\u91d1\u4ecd\u53d721\u65e5\u7c21\u55ae\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff08SMA\uff09$4,176.10\u7684\u58d3\u5236\uff0c 50\u65e5\u7c21\u55ae\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\uff08SMA\uff09\u4f4d\u65bc$4,411.79\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u800c200\u65e5SMA\u5247\u4f4d\u65bc$4,483.53\uff0c\u5171\u540c\u5f37\u5316\u4e86\u4e0a\u65b9\u5bc6\u96c6\u7684\u8ce3\u58d3\u5340\u3002 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