{"id":23245,"date":"2025-09-09T06:26:27","date_gmt":"2025-09-09T06:26:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=23245"},"modified":"2025-09-09T06:26:27","modified_gmt":"2025-09-09T06:26:27","slug":"daily-commentary-272","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/daily-commentary-272-20250909\/","title":{"rendered":"\u521d\u6b65 NFP \u57fa\u6e96\u4fee\u6b63\u662f\u5426\u6703\u5c0e\u81f4\u9ec3\u91d1\u56de\u843d\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>\u9ec3\u91d1\u6301\u7e8c\u5237\u65b0\u7d00\u9304\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u6e2c\u8a66 $3,650 \u9ede\uff0c\u672c\u9031\u8fc4\u4eca\u5df2\u589e\u52a0\u8d85\u904e 1.5% \u9ede\u3002<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u975e\u8fb2\u5c31\u696d\u57fa\u6e96\u4fee\u6b63\u524d\u5168\u9762\u9677\u5165\u4e03\u9031\u4f4e\u9ede\u3002<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u5728\u7f8e\u570b\u5c31\u696d\u6578\u64da\u4e0d\u4f73\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u7a4d\u6975\u6e1b\u606f\u7684\u8ced\u6ce8\u53c8\u88ab\u63d0\u4e0a\u6aaf\u9762\u3002<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u65e5\u7dda\u5716\u4e0a\u7684 RSI \u56b4\u91cd\u8d85\u8cb7\uff0c\u8cb7\u5bb6\u5fc5\u9808\u8b39\u614e\uff0c\u56de\u8abf\u5728\u5373\u55ce\uff1f<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5468\u4e8c\u65e9\u76e4\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u6e2c\u8a66 $3,650 \u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u5831\u50f9\uff0c\u56e0\u7f8e\u5143\u6301\u7e8c\u770b\u8dcc\uff0c\u98a8\u96aa\u57fa\u8abf\u7565\u5fae\u5229\u597d\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u5275\u65b0\u9ad8\u7684\u52e2\u982d\u4ecd\u672a\u6e1b\u5f31\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u9031\u4e00\u4e9e\u76e4\u77ed\u66ab\u56de\u5347\u5f8c\u91cd\u62fe\u8dcc\u52e2\uff0c\u514c\u516d\u7a2e\u4e3b\u8981\u8ca8\u5e63\u5275\u4e0b\u4e03\u9031\u4ee5\u4f86\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u5728\u52de\u52d5\u5e02\u5834\u72c0\u6cc1\u60e1\u5316\u548c\u6eef\u8139\u98a8\u96aa\u9ad8\u4f01\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u4eca\u5e74\u7a4d\u6975\u6e1b\u606f\u7684\u62bc\u6ce8\u4e0d\u65b7\u5347\u6eab\uff0c\u4ecd\u5c0d\u7f8e\u5143\u69cb\u6210\u62d6\u7d2f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u7684\u9d3f\u6d3e\u9810\u671f\u548c\u5ee3\u6cdb\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u75b2\u8edf\u7e7c\u7e8c\u63a8\u52d5\u9ec3\u91d1\u5275\u7d00\u9304\u7684\u53cd\u5f48\uff0c\u672c\u5468\u8fc4\u4eca\u975e\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u91d1\u584a\u5df2\u4e0a\u6f32\u8fd1 1.8%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>BLS \u5468\u4e94\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b NFP \u7e3d\u6578\u589e\u52a0 22,000 \u4eba\uff0c\u9060\u4f4e\u65bc\u9810\u6e2c\u7684 75,000 \u4eba\uff0c\u800c\u5931\u696d\u7387\u6500\u5347\u81f3 4.3%\uff0c\u70ba 2021 \u5e74\u5e95\u4ee5\u4f86\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u6c34\u6e96\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6839\u64da CME Group \u7684 FedWatch \u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u4f30\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u5728 9 \u6708\u6703\u8b70\u4e0a\u6e1b\u606f 25 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede (bps) \u7684\u6a5f\u7387\u70ba 89.4%\uff0c\u800c\u6e1b\u606f 50 \u500b\u57fa\u9ede (bps) \u7684\u6a5f\u7387\u70ba 10.6%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6709\u4eba\u731c\u6e2c\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u4eca\u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u964d\u606f\u5169\u6b21\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u5118\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u8f49\u5411\u7a0d\u5f8c\u5c07\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7f8e\u570b NFP \u57fa\u6e96\u4fee\u6b63\u503c\u521d\u503c\uff0c\u5176\u6db5\u84cb\u671f\u9593\u70ba 2024 \u5e74 4 \u6708\u81f3 2025 \u5e74 3 \u6708\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6839\u64da\u8def\u900f\u793e\u7684\u5831\u5c0e\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6\u9810\u671f\u4e0b\u4fee\u7684\u5c31\u696d\u8077\u4f4d\u5c07\u9ad8\u9054 80 \u842c\u500b\uff0c\u9019\u53ef\u80fd\u610f\u5473\u8457\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u5728\u9054\u6210\u6700\u5927\u5c31\u696d\u7387\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u4e0a\u6709\u6240\u843d\u5f8c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5982\u679cNFP\u4fee\u6b63\u503c\u5982\u666e\u904d\u9810\u671f\u4e0b\u8abf\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73fe \u300c\u8ce3\u51fa\u4e8b\u5be6 \u300d\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u8ce3\u5bb6\u5c07\u5f9e\u65e5\u7dda\u5716\u7684\u8d85\u8cb7\u72c0\u6cc1\u4e2d\u627e\u5230\u984d\u5916\u652f\u6490\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading has-vivid-red-color has-text-color has-small-font-size\">\u6bcf\u65e5\u6280\u8853\u5206\u6790<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"402\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-5-1024x402.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23246\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-5-1024x402.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-5-300x118.png 300w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-5-768x302.png 768w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-5-1536x604.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-5-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-5.png 1593w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u65e5\u7dda\u5716\u986f\u793a 14 \u5929 RSI \u4ecd\u8655\u65bc\u56b4\u91cd\u8d85\u8cb7\u5340\u57df\u3002\u9818\u5148\u6307\u6a19\u76ee\u524d\u5728 80 \u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9ec3\u91d1\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u56de\u64a4\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u6311\u6230\u4f4d\u65bc $3,600 \u6574\u6578\u4f4d\u7684\u5373\u6642\u652f\u6490\uff0c\u8dcc\u7834\u5f8c\u53ef\u80fd\u6e2c\u8a66\u524d\u4e00\u65e5\u4f4e\u9ede $3,578\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u82e5\u6301\u7e8c\u8dcc\u7834\u5f8c\u8005\uff0c\u5247\u5c07\u671d\u5411 $3,550 \u5fc3\u7406\u95dc\u53e3\u958b\u555f\u65b0\u7684\u4e0b\u884c\u901a\u9053\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u8cb7\u5bb6\u62d2\u7d55\u653e\u68c4\uff0c\u4e0b\u4e00\u500b\u4e0a\u884c\u969c\u7919\u4f4d\u770b$3,700\u6c34\u6e96\uff0c\u4e0a\u65b9$3,750\u5340\u57df\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u4e9b\u963b\u529b\u3002<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold is testing offers above $3,650 early Tuesday as the record run remains unabated amid a sustained bearish bias in the US Dollar and a slightly positive risk tone. The USD resumes its downtrend following a brief recovery in Monday\u2019s Asian trading, sitting at the lowest level in seven weeks against its six major currency &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/daily-commentary-272-20250909\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u95b1\u8b80\u5168\u6587<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\u3008Is GOLD primed for a pullback on prelim NFP Benchmark Revision?\u3009<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23245","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23245","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23245"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23245\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23247,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23245\/revisions\/23247"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23245"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23245"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23245"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}