{"id":23210,"date":"2025-08-22T04:31:05","date_gmt":"2025-08-22T04:31:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=23210"},"modified":"2025-08-22T04:31:05","modified_gmt":"2025-08-22T04:31:05","slug":"daily-commentary-261","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/daily-commentary-261-20250822\/","title":{"rendered":"\u9ec3\u91d1\u770b 100 \u65e5\u5747\u7ebf\u652f\u6491\u548c\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u7684\u6770\u514b\u900a\u970d\u5c14\u8bb2\u8bdd"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>\u9ec3\u91d1\u8ce3\u5bb6\u5728\u9031\u4e94\u65e9\u76e4\u4fdd\u6301\u63a7\u5236\uff0c\u7b49\u5f85\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9b91\u5a01\u723e\u5728\u5091\u514b\u905c\u970d\u723e\u7814\u8a0e\u6703\u4e0a\u7684\u767c\u8a00\u3002<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u5f37\u52c1\u7684\u7f8e\u570b PMI \u6578\u64da\u3001\u5c0d\u7f8e\u806f\u5132 9 \u6708\u6e1b\u606f\u7684\u62bc\u6ce8\u6e1b\u5c11\u4ee5\u53ca\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u5e36\u52d5\u4e0b\u4fdd\u6301\u9031\u7dda\u5347\u52e2\u3002<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u5728\u718a\u5e02\u4ea4\u53c9\u548c\u770b\u8dcc RSI \u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u5728 $3,350 \u4ee5\u4e0b\u6642\u6709\u4e0b\u884c\u98a8\u96aa\u3002<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5728\u9031\u56db\u5c3e\u76e4\u53cd\u5f48\u5931\u53bb\u727d\u5f15\u529b\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u9031\u4e94\u65e9\u76e4\u5c0b\u6c42\u5ef6\u7e8c\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u8dcc\u52e2\u3002\u73fe\u5728\u6240\u6709\u7684\u76ee\u5149\u90fd\u8f49\u5411\u4e86\u7f8e\u570b\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u4e3b\u5e2d Jerome Powell \u5728 Jackson Hole \u7d93\u6fdf\u7814\u8a0e\u6703\u4e0a\u7684\u6f14\u8b1b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u5176\u4e3b\u8981\u8ca8\u5e63\u5c0d\u624b\u8fd1\u671f\u56de\u5347\u81f3\u5169\u9031\u9ad8\u9ede\u7684\u52e2\u982d\u6b63\u5728\u978f\u56fa\uff0c\u4ee4\u9ec3\u91d1\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u8208\u8da3\u6301\u7e8c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7531\u65bc\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u4e0b\u6708\u964d\u606f\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\u964d\u4f4e\uff0c\u7da0\u5e63\u6301\u7e8c\u8d70\u9ad8\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u7684\u9df9\u6d3e\u8f49\u8b8a\u53ef\u80fd\u6b78\u56e0\u65bc\u8fd1\u671f\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u5f37\u52c1\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4f4f\u623f\u548c\u5546\u696d\u6d3b\u52d5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7f8e\u570b 7 \u6708\u6210\u5c4b\u92b7\u552e 401 \u842c\u6236\uff0c\u8f03\u9810\u671f 392 \u842c\u6236\u4e0a\u5347 2.0%\uff0c6 \u6708\u70ba\u4e0b\u964d 2.7%\u3002\u540c\u6642\uff0c8 \u6708\u6a19\u6e96\u666e\u723e\u5168\u7403\u7f8e\u570b PMI \u7d9c\u5408\u7522\u51fa\u6307\u6578\u5347\u81f3 8 \u500b\u6708\u9ad8\u9ede\uff0c\u5f9e 7 \u6708\u7684 55.1 \u6500\u5347\u81f3 55.4\uff0c8 \u6708\u88fd\u9020\u696d\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u696d PMI \u5206\u5225\u70ba 53.3 \u548c 55.4\uff0c\u8d85\u51fa\u9810\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6839\u64da CME Group \u7684 FedWatch Tool\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b PMI \u6578\u64da\u516c\u5e03\u5f8c\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u7f8e\u806f\u5132 9 \u6708\u964d\u606f\u7684\u62bc\u6ce8\u5f9e\u6578\u64da\u516c\u5e03\u524d\u7684 85% \u964d\u81f3 75% \u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u5c0d\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u6295\u8cc7\u524d\u666f\u7684\u6182\u616e\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u6307\u6578\u6301\u7e8c\u906d\u5230\u62cb\u552e\uff0c\u4ee4\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u63d0\u5347\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u907f\u96aa\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u671f\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9b91\u5a01\u723e (Jerome Powell) \u5728\u7576\u5929\u7a0d\u665a\u8209\u884c\u7684\u5091\u514b\u905c\u970d\u723e\u7814\u8a0e\u6703 (Jackson Hole Symposium) \u7684\u958b\u5834\u6f14\u8aaa\u4e2d\uff0c\u5c07\u5805\u6301\u5c0d\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u5bec\u9b06\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u5be9\u614e\u7acb\u5834\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>WSJ \u7684 Nick Timiraos \u662f\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u7684\u5bc6\u63a2\uff0c\u4ed6\u5728\u9031\u56db\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u9b91\u5a01\u723e\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u300c\u626d\u8f49 2020 \u5e74\u6642\u671f\u7684\u5169\u5927\u653f\u7b56\u8b8a\u5316\uff1b\u9748\u6d3b\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u901a\u8139\u7387\u548c\u504f\u5411\u4f4e\u5931\u696d\u7387\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9b91\u5a01\u723e\u7684\u8a00\u8ad6\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u5c0d\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u7684\u6e1b\u606f\u9810\u671f\u7522\u751f\u91cd\u5927\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u6700\u7d42\u5f71\u97ff\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8868\u73fe\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u70ba\u975e\u5b73\u606f\u4eae\u91d1\u5c6c\u5468\u570d\u6ce8\u5165\u5287\u70c8\u6ce2\u52d5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u9b91\u5a01\u723e\u63a8\u7ffb\u6fc0\u9032\u6e1b\u606f\u7684\u62bc\u6ce8\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u70ba\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u884c\u63d0\u4f9b\u984d\u5916\u52d5\u529b\uff0c\u4f7f\u9ec3\u91d1\u56de\u5230 $3,300 \u6c34\u5e73\u4e4b\u4e0b\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u82e5\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u4e3b\u5e2d\u610f\u5916\u8f49\u5411\u9d3f\u6d3e\uff0c\u5247\u7f8e\u5143\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73fe\u65b0\u4e00\u6ce2\u62cb\u552e\uff0c\u9019\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u63d0\u632f\u9ec3\u91d1\u5317\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading has-vivid-red-color has-text-color has-small-font-size\">\u6bcf\u65e5\u6280\u8853\u5206\u6790<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"402\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-15-1024x402.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23211\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-15-1024x402.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-15-300x118.png 300w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-15-768x301.png 768w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-15-1536x602.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-15-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-15.png 1594w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u65e5\u7dda\u5716\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u4ecd\u6709\u4e0b\u884c\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba 14 \u5929 RSI \u8d70\u4f4e\u81f3 50 \u6c34\u5e73\u4e4b\u4e0b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u718a\u5e02\u4ea4\u53c9\u4e5f\u4fdd\u6301\u4e86\u8ca0\u9762\u7684\u524d\u666f\u3002\u8acb\u6ce8\u610f\uff0c21 \u5929 SMA \u5728\u9031\u4e8c\u6536\u65bc 50 \u5929 SMA \u4e0b\u65b9\uff0c\u9a57\u8b49\u4e86\u770b\u8dcc\u4ea4\u53c9\u3002\u8ce3\u5bb6\u9700\u8981\u5728 100 \u5929 SMA \u7dda $3,314 \u4e0b\u65b9\u627e\u5230\u5f37\u5927\u7684\u7acb\u8db3\u9ede\uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u5f62\u6210\u6301\u7e8c\u7684\u4e0b\u8dcc\u8da8\u52e2\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u518d\u5f80\u5357\uff0c\u662f 7 \u6708 31 \u65e5\u7684\u4f4e\u9ede $3,274\uff0c\u8dcc\u7834\u8a72\u9ede\u5f8c\uff0c\u5c07\u6e2c\u8a66 7 \u6708 30 \u65e5\u7684\u4f4e\u9ede $3,268\uff0c\u9014\u4e2d\u5c07\u6e2c\u8a66 $3,250 \u7684\u5fc3\u7406\u969c\u7919\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u9ec3\u91d1\u8cb7\u5bb6\u9700\u8981\u653b\u514b $3,350 \u9644\u8fd1\u7684\u5f37\u5927\u963b\u529b\u4f4d\uff0c\u5373 21 \u5929 SMA \u548c 50 \u5929 SMA \u7684\u532f\u5408\u5340\u57df\uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u5426\u6c7a\u4efb\u4f55\u8fd1\u671f\u770b\u8dcc\u7684\u50be\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e0b\u4e00\u500b\u770b\u6f32\u76ee\u6a19\u898b\u65bc\u524d\u4e00\u5468\u9ad8\u9ede $3,375 \u548c $3,400 \u5713\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold is looking to extend the previous decline early Friday after Thursday\u2019s late rebound lost traction. All eyes now turn to US Fed Chair Jerome Powell\u2019s speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. The US Dollar is consolidating its recent recovery to two-week highs against its major currency rivals, keeping the bearish interests alive in &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/daily-commentary-261-20250822\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u95b1\u8b80\u5168\u6587<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\u91d1\u50f9\u770b100\u65e5\u5747\u7ebf\u652f\u6490\u548c\u9b91\u5a01\u723e\u7684\u5091\u514b\u905c\u970d\u723e\u6f14\u8b1b\u3009(GOLD looks to 100-day SMA support and Powell's Jackson Hole speech)<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23210","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23210","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23210"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23210\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23212,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23210\/revisions\/23212"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23210"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23210"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23210"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}