{"id":23164,"date":"2025-08-04T04:56:05","date_gmt":"2025-08-04T04:56:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=23164"},"modified":"2025-08-04T04:56:05","modified_gmt":"2025-08-04T04:56:05","slug":"daily-commentary-249","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/daily-commentary-249-20250804\/","title":{"rendered":"\u9ec3\u91d1\u8cb7\u5bb6\u5728\u5dee\u52c1\u7684\u7f8e\u570b NFP \u555f\u767c\u56de\u6b78\u5f8c\u7a0d\u4e8b\u5598\u606f"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>\u91d1\u50f9\u5728\u9031\u4e00\u65b0\u4e00\u5468\u7684\u5e73\u6de1\u958b\u5c40\u4e2d\u66ab\u505c\u4e86\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u5fa9\u7526\u53cd\u5f48\u3002<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u7f8e\u5143\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u56e0\u7f8e\u570b\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u6578\u64da\u4e0d\u4f73\u800c\u4e0b\u632b\u5f8c\u8a66\u5716\u6eab\u548c\u53cd\u5f48\u3002<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u96a8\u8457 RSI \u8f49\u70ba\u770b\u6f32\uff0c\u91d1\u50f9\u91cd\u62fe\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u65e5\u7dda\u5747\u7dda\uff1b\u5373\u6642\u963b\u529b\u4f4d\u770b\u9f4a $3,380\u3002<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u91d1\u50f9\u5df2\u66ab\u505c\u9023\u7e8c\u5169\u65e5\u7684\u56de\u5347\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u9031\u4e00\u65e9\u76e4\u5247\u4ea4\u6295\u65bc$3,350\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u6d88\u5316\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u516c\u4f48\u7684\u7f8e\u570bNFP\u6578\u64da\u4e0d\u4f73\u6240\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u5de8\u5927\u53cd\u61c9\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9031\u4e94\u52de\u5de5\u7d71\u8a08\u5c40(Bureau of Labor Statistics)\u7684\u5831\u544a\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b 7 \u6708\u65b0\u589e\u5c31\u696d\u8077\u4f4d 73,000 \u500b\uff0c\u9ad8\u65bc 6 \u6708\u4fee\u8a02\u7684 14,000 \u500b\uff0c\u4f46\u4f4e\u65bc\u9810\u4f30\u7684 110,000 \u500b\u3002\u672c\u6708\u5931\u696d\u7387\u4e00\u5982\u9810\u671f\u5347\u81f3 4.2%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7f8e\u570b\u52de\u52d5\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u4e0d\u666f\u6c23\uff0c\u9ede\u71c3\u4e86\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u6574\u9ad4\u7d93\u6fdf\u5fa9\u7526\u529b\u7684\u64d4\u6182\uff0c\u5728\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u53ef\u80fd\u53d7\u5230\u95dc\u7a05\u5f71\u97ff\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e5f\u5f15\u8d77\u4e86\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u76ee\u524d\u8010\u5fc3\u653f\u7b56\u7acb\u5834\u7684\u7591\u616e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6839\u64da CME Group \u7684 FedWatch Tool\uff0c\u6578\u64da\u516c\u5e03\u5f8c\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u5c07\u7f8e\u806f\u5132 9 \u6708\u964d\u606f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5f9e NFP \u516c\u4f48\u524d\u7684 50% \u4e0a\u8abf\u81f3 80% \u5de6\u53f3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u570d\u7e5e\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u9810\u671f\u7684\u9d3f\u6d3e\u60c5\u7dd2\u8f49\u8b8a\u6253\u64ca\u4e86\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u5eab\u50b5\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u548c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6574\u9ad4\u66f2\u7dda\uff0c\u5f9e\u6708\u5ea6\u4f4e\u9ede\u679c\u65b7\u5730\u63d0\u632f\u4e86\u9ec3\u91d1\u50f9\u683c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7e3d\u7d71\u5ddd\u666e\u5728\u75b2\u5f31\u65bc\u9810\u671f\u7684\u5c31\u696d\u5831\u544a\u5f8c\u958b\u9664\u7f8e\u570b\u52de\u5de5\u90e8\u7d71\u8a08\u4e3b\u7ba1 Erika L. McEntarfer\uff0c\u7da0\u5e63\u9996\u7576\u5176\u885d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7f8e\u5143\u8ce3\u76e4\u7684\u91cd\u65b0\u8208\u8d77\u5e6b\u52a9\u91d1\u50f9\u5ef6\u7e8c\u4e86\u56de\u5347\u52e2\u982d\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u9019\u7a2e\u660e\u4eae\u7684\u91d1\u5c6c\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u4e00\u5929\u80fd\u5426\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0a\u63da\u4ecd\u6709\u5f85\u89c0\u5bdf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7da0\u5e63\u53ef\u80fd\u91cd\u62fe\u8dcc\u52e2\uff0c\u56e0\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u51fa\u73fe\u65b0\u7684\u4e0d\u5b89\uff0c\u4e14\u5e02\u5834\u7d1b\u7d1b\u731c\u6e2c BLS \u5c08\u54e1 Erika McEntarfer \u906d\u89e3\u50f1\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u524a\u5f31\u5b98\u65b9\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u6578\u64da\u53ef\u4fe1\u5ea6\u7684\u66f4\u5ee3\u6cdb\u7b56\u7565\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u6700\u7d42\u6703\u5f71\u97ff Fed \u7684\u7368\u7acb\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u95dc\u7a05\u767c\u5c55\u4ecd\u662f\u7126\u9ede\uff0c\u7f8e\u52a0\u8cbf\u6613\u8ac7\u5224\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u5f71\u97ff\u5e02\u5834\u60c5\u7dd2\uff0c\u6700\u7d42\u5f71\u97ff\u7f8e\u5143\u4ea4\u6613\u548c\u9ec3\u91d1\u50f9\u683c\u884c\u52d5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading has-vivid-red-color has-text-color has-small-font-size\">\u6bcf\u65e5\u6280\u8853\u5206\u6790<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"402\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-2-1024x402.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23166\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-2-1024x402.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-2-300x118.png 300w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-2-768x301.png 768w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-2-1536x602.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-2-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-2.png 1594w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5728\u9ec3\u91d1\u50f9\u683c\u634d\u885b\u4e86\u95dc\u9375\u7684 100 \u5929 SMA \u7dda\uff0c\u4e26\u5728\u9031\u7dda\u6536\u76e4\u57fa\u790e\u4e0a\u6536\u5fa9\u4e86 21 \u5929\u548c 50 \u5929 SMA \u7dda\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u65e5\u7dda\u5716\u4e0a\u7684\u6280\u8853\u4f48\u5c40\u5df2\u8f49\u70ba\u5c0d\u8cb7\u5bb6\u6709\u5229\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>14 \u5929 RSI \u4f4d\u65bc\u4e2d\u7dda\u4e0a\u65b9\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u5728 52 \u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u672a\u4f86\u5e7e\u5929\u7684\u5fa9\u7526\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u5ef6\u7e8c\u300221 \u5929 RSI \u6709\u671b\u7a7f\u8d8a 50 \u5929 SMA \u4e0a\u884c\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5728\u6bcf\u65e5\u6536\u76e4\u6642\u5be6\u73fe\uff0c\u5c07\u78ba\u8a8d\u725b\u5341\u5b57\u661f\uff0c\u9019\u5c07\u589e\u52a0\u770b\u6f32\u6f5b\u529b\u7684\u53ef\u4fe1\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u5373\u6642\u963b\u529b\u4f4d\u5728\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u4e0a\u5347\u8da8\u52e2\u7dda\u652f\u6490\u4f4d $3,380\u3002\u5982\u679c\u8cb7\u5bb6\u5728\u8a72\u6c34\u6e96\u4e0a\u65b9\u627e\u5230\u5f37\u5927\u7684\u7acb\u8db3\u9ede\uff0c\u4e0b\u4e00\u500b\u4e0a\u884c\u76ee\u6a19\u5c07\u5c0d\u6e96 $3,400 \u81e8\u754c\u503c\u548c $3,440 \u56fa\u5b9a\u963b\u529b\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5f37\u529b\u652f\u6490\u4f4d\u65bc 21 \u5929 SMA \u8207 50 \u5929 SMA \u7684\u532f\u5408\u8655\uff0c\u9760\u8fd1 $3,342\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u82e5\u6301\u7e8c\u8dcc\u7834\u8a72\u6c34\u6e96\uff0c\u5247\u5c07\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u884c\u81f3 $3,300 \u6574\u6578\u4f4d\u3002\u5c0d\u65bc\u9ec3\u91d1\u8cb7\u5bb6\u800c\u8a00\uff0c100 \u5929 SMA \u7dda\u4f4d\u65bc $3,275\u3002<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold price has paused its two-day recovery mode while trading at around $3,350 early Monday, digesting the huge reaction to the dismal US NFP data released on Friday. Risk aversion extends into early Monday\u2019s trading as concerns over the health of the US economy re-emerge in the aftermath of the disappointing labor market report on &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/daily-commentary-249-20250804\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u95b1\u8b80\u5168\u6587<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\u3008GOLD buyers take a breather after poor US NFP-inspired comeback\u3009<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23164","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23164","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23164"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23164\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23167,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23164\/revisions\/23167"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23164"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23164"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh_tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23164"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}