{"id":22606,"date":"2025-01-08T05:56:39","date_gmt":"2025-01-08T05:56:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=22606"},"modified":"2025-01-08T05:56:39","modified_gmt":"2025-01-08T05:56:39","slug":"daily-commentary-149","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh\/daily-commentary-149-20250108\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u56fd adp \u62a5\u544a\u548c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\uff0c\u4ee5\u63a8\u52a8\u9ec4\u91d1\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0a\u6da8"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul class=\"has-text-color wp-block-list\" style=\"color:#f40307\">\n<li><strong>\u5468\u4e09\u65e9\u76d8\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u5728 2,650 \u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\u8f6c\u4e3a\u5b88\u52bf\uff0c\u7b49\u5f85\u7f8e\u56fd ADP \u548c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\u3002<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"has-text-color wp-block-list\" style=\"color:#f40307\">\n<li><strong>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u98ce\u9669\u57fa\u8c03\u51cf\u5f31\uff0c\u4f46\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e00\u8d77\u6682\u505c\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"has-text-color wp-block-list\" style=\"color:#f40307\">\n<li><strong>\u91d1\u4ef7\u5728\u7a33\u56fa\u7a81\u7834 50 \u65e5\u5747\u7ebf\u4e14 RSI \u91cd\u56de\u6b63\u503c\u533a\u57df\u540e\u5411\u5317\u8d70\u3002<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5468\u4e09\u65e9\u76d8\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u5728 2,650 \u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\u76d8\u6574\uff0c\u7b49\u5f85\u7f8e\u56fd adp \u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u548c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8 12 \u6708\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u6709\u671b\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d70\u9ad8\u3002\u7ee7\u6700\u65b0\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u540e\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u672a\u80fd\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u9e70\u6d3e\u9884\u671f\u3002\u5468\u4e8c\u7684 jolts \u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd 11 \u6708\u5c31\u4e1a\u5c97\u4f4d\u7a7a\u7f3a\u589e\u81f3 809.8 \u4e07\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u9884\u671f\u7684 770 \u4e07\uff0c\u4e5f\u9ad8\u4e8e 10 \u6708\u4efd\u7684 783.9 \u4e07\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6839\u636eCME\u7684 FedWatch \u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5df2\u7ecf\u6392\u9664\u4e86\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u672c\u6708\u964d\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u800c 3 \u6708\u4efd\u964d\u606f 25 \u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4ec5\u4e3a 37%\u3002\u53d7\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8d38\u6613\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u548c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9e70\u6d3e\u62bc\u6ce8\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u7ee7\u7eed\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u65e0\u6536\u76ca\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u4e0a\u884c\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u5f53\u9009\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5c06\u4e8e 1 \u6708 20 \u65e5\u5c31\u804c\uff0c\u4ed6\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u548c\u4fdd\u62a4\u4e3b\u4e49\u653f\u7b56\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u901a\u80c0\uff0c\u8981\u6c42\u63d0\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u5e76\u63a8\u9ad8\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7531\u4e8e\u5370\u5ea6\u5362\u6bd4\u5feb\u901f\u8d2c\u503c\u81f3\u5386\u53f2\u4f4e\u70b9\uff0c\u56fd\u5185\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u5f53\u5730\u4eba\u8d2d\u4e70\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u6210\u672c\u9ad8\u6602\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u5728\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u518d\u5ea6\u5347\u6e29\u6216\u5373\u5c06\u4e0a\u4efb\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7-\u7279\u6717\u666e\u53d1\u51fa\u5173\u7a0e\u5a01\u80c1\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u907f\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u80a1\u5e02\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u9762\u4e34\u65b0\u7684\u629b\u552e\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u63d0\u5347\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u548c\u91d1\u4ef7\u7684\u907f\u9669\u9700\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5373\u5c06\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd adp \u5c31\u4e1a\u53d8\u5316\u6570\u636e\u548c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\u4f3c\u4e4e\u662f\u672a\u6765\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u4e8b\u4ef6\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u79c1\u8425\u90e8\u95e8 12 \u6708\u65b0\u589e\u5c31\u4e1a\u5c97\u4f4d 14 \u4e07\uff0c\u800c 11 \u6708\u62a5\u544a\u7684\u65b0\u589e\u5c31\u4e1a\u5c97\u4f4d\u4e3a 14.6 \u4e07\u3002\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u610f\u5916\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\u5219\u504f\u9e70\u6d3e\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u9e70\u6d3e\u62bc\u6ce8\u4ea7\u751f\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5bf9\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u4ea7\u751f\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading has-vivid-red-color has-text-color has-small-font-size\"><strong>\u9ec4\u91d1\u6bcf\u65e5\u6280\u672f\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"402\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-2-1024x402.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-22607\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-2-1024x402.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-2-300x118.png 300w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-2-768x302.png 768w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-2-1536x603.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-2-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image-2.png 1592w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u65e5\u7ebf\u56fe\u663e\u793a\uff0c14 \u65e5\u76f8\u5bf9\u5f3a\u5f31\u6307\u6570 (RSI) \u7565\u5fae\u6301\u5e73\uff0c\u7565\u9ad8\u4e8e 50 \u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u91d1\u4ef7\u4e0a\u884c\u7a7a\u95f4\u4f9d\u7136\u5b8c\u597d\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u5728\u5468\u4e8c\u6536\u4e8e\u8be5\u5173\u53e3\u4e0a\u65b9\u540e\uff0c\u634d\u536b 50 \u65e5\u7b80\u5355\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u7ebf (SMA) 2,646 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u9ec4\u91d1\u4e70\u5bb6\u5fc5\u987b\u7a81\u7834 2,665 \u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5f3a\u963b\u529b\u4f4d\uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u6062\u590d\u4ece\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u4f4e\u70b9 2,583 \u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u53cd\u5f39\u3002\u518d\u5f80\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c12 \u6708 13 \u65e5\u7684\u9ad8\u70b9 2,693 \u7f8e\u5143\u548c 2,700 \u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u5c06\u6311\u6218\u770b\u8dcc\u627f\u8bfa\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u5982\u679c 50 \u65e5 sma \u963b\u529b\u4f4d\u8f6c\u4e3a\u652f\u6491\u4f4d\u5d29\u76d8\uff0c\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e0b\u884c\u4e0a\u9650\u5c06\u5728 2,634 \u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c21 \u65e5 sma \u548c 100 \u65e5 sma \u6536\u76d8\u4e8e\u6b64\u3002\u7a81\u7834\u540e\u8005\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u66b4\u9732\u5468\u4e00\u7684\u4f4e\u70b9 2,615 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u9ec4\u91d1\u4e70\u5bb6\u7684\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u9053\u9632\u7ebf\u662f 12 \u6708 30 \u65e5\u7684\u4f4e\u70b9 2,596 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5468\u4e09\u65e9\u76d8\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u5728 2,650 \u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\u76d8\u6574\uff0c\u7b49\u5f85\u7f8e\u56fd ADP \u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u548c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8 12 \u6708\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u6709\u671b\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d70\u9ad8\u3002\u7ee7\u6700\u65b0\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u540e\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u672a\u80fd\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u9e70\u6d3e\u9884\u671f\u3002\u5468\u4e8c\u7684 JOLTS \u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd 11 \u6708\u5c31\u4e1a\u5c97\u4f4d\u7a7a\u7f3a\u589e\u81f3 809.8 \u4e07\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u9884\u671f\u7684 770 \u4e07\uff0c\u4e5f\u9ad8\u4e8e 10 \u6708\u4efd\u7684 783.9 \u4e07\u3002 \u6839\u636eCME\u7684 FedWatch \u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5df2\u7ecf\u6392\u9664\u4e86\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u672c\u6708\u964d\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u800c 3 \u6708\u4efd\u964d\u606f 25 \u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4ec5\u4e3a 37%\u3002\u53d7\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8d38\u6613\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u548c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9e70\u6d3e\u62bc\u6ce8\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u7ee7\u7eed\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u65e0\u6536\u76ca\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u4e0a\u884c\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u5f53\u9009\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5c06\u4e8e 1 \u6708 20 \u65e5\u5c31\u804c\uff0c\u4ed6\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u548c\u4fdd\u62a4\u4e3b\u4e49\u653f\u7b56\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u901a\u80c0\uff0c\u8981\u6c42\u63d0\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u5e76\u63a8\u9ad8\u7f8e\u5143\u3002 \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6682\u505c\u4e86\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u4e3a\u9ec4\u91d1\u4e70\u5bb6\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u652f\u6491\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u62c5\u5fe7\u548c\u5370\u5ea6\u5b9e\u7269\u9ec4\u91d1\u9700\u6c42\u4e0b\u6ed1\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5bf9\u9ec4\u91d1\u6784\u6210\u963b\u529b\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u5370\u5ea6\u5362\u6bd4\u5feb\u901f\u8d2c\u503c\u81f3\u5386\u53f2\u4f4e\u70b9\uff0c\u56fd\u5185\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u5f53\u5730\u4eba\u8d2d\u4e70\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u6210\u672c\u9ad8\u6602\u3002 \u5982\u679c\u5728\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u518d\u5ea6\u5347\u6e29\u6216\u5373\u5c06\u4e0a\u4efb\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\u53d1\u51fa\u5173\u7a0e\u5a01\u80c1\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u907f\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u80a1\u5e02\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u9762\u4e34\u65b0\u7684\u629b\u552e\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u63d0\u5347\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u548c\u91d1\u4ef7\u7684\u907f\u9669\u9700\u6c42\u3002 \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5373\u5c06\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd ADP \u5c31\u4e1a\u53d8\u5316\u6570\u636e\u548c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\u4f3c\u4e4e\u662f\u672a\u6765\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u4e8b\u4ef6\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u79c1\u8425\u90e8\u95e8 12 \u6708\u65b0\u589e\u5c31\u4e1a\u5c97\u4f4d 14 \u4e07\uff0c\u800c 11 \u6708\u62a5\u544a\u7684\u65b0\u589e\u5c31\u4e1a\u5c97\u4f4d\u4e3a 14.6 \u4e07\u3002\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u610f\u5916\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4f1a\u8bae\u7eaa\u8981\u5219\u504f\u9e70\u6d3e\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u9e70\u6d3e\u62bc\u6ce8\u4ea7\u751f\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5bf9\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u4ea7\u751f\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u3002 \u9ec4\u91d1\u6bcf\u65e5\u6280\u672f\u5206\u6790 \u65e5\u7ebf\u56fe\u663e\u793a\uff0c14 \u65e5\u76f8\u5bf9\u5f3a\u5f31\u6307\u6570 (RSI) \u7565\u5fae\u6301\u5e73\uff0c\u7565\u9ad8\u4e8e 50 \u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u91d1\u4ef7\u4e0a\u884c\u7a7a\u95f4\u4f9d\u7136\u5b8c\u597d\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u5728\u5468\u4e8c\u6536\u4e8e\u8be5\u5173\u53e3\u4e0a\u65b9\u540e\uff0c\u634d\u536b 50 \u65e5\u7b80\u5355\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u7ebf (SMA) 2,646 &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh\/daily-commentary-149-20250108\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\u201c\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u56fd ADP 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