{"id":22552,"date":"2024-12-13T06:22:19","date_gmt":"2024-12-13T06:22:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=22552"},"modified":"2024-12-13T06:22:19","modified_gmt":"2024-12-13T06:22:19","slug":"daily-commentary-141","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh\/daily-commentary-141-20241213\/","title":{"rendered":"\u9ec4\u91d1\u591a\u5934\u4e70\u5bb6\u4ecd\u672a\u653e\u5f03"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul class=\"has-text-color wp-block-list\" style=\"color:#f40307\">\n<li><strong>\u91d1\u4ef7\u5468\u4e94\u65e9\u76d8\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u6b64\u524d\u5468\u56db\u4ece 2,726 \u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4e94\u5468\u9ad8\u70b9\u56de\u8c03\u3002<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"has-text-color wp-block-list\" style=\"color:#f40307\">\n<li><strong>\u7f8e\u56fd ppi \u6570\u636e\u8868\u73b0\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u63d0\u632f\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8 12 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\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u5468\u672b\u524d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u76f8\u5bf9\u6e05\u6de1\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e00\u8d77\u5de9\u56fa\u8fd1\u671f\u6da8\u5e45\u3002\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0b\u5468\u5c06\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u9884\u671f\u63a8\u52a8\u7f8e\u5143\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u5468\u4e09\u518d\u5ea6\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u4ece\u6570\u6708\u9ad8\u70b9\u5f00\u59cb\u56de\u8c03\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5e02\u573a\u73b0\u5728\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u80fd\u5728 1 \u6708\u4efd\u6682\u505c\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u6b64\u524d\u9884\u671f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5c06\u5728 12 \u6708 17 \u65e5\u81f3 18 \u65e5\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u964d\u606f 25 \u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9 (bps)\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570 (PPI) \u6570\u636e\u597d\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f20\u9012\u51fa\u5f3a\u786c\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u30020%\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 2.6% \u7684\u589e\u957f\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6838\u5fc3 PPI \u5e74\u5ea6\u6570\u636e\u540c\u671f\u4e0a\u6da8 3.4%\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u9884\u671f\u7684 3.2%\u3002\u6708\u5ea6 PPI \u548c\u6838\u5fc3 PPI \u5206\u522b\u4e0a\u6da8 0.4% \u548c 0.2%\u3002CME \u7684 FedWatch \u5de5\u5177\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5df2\u5145\u5206\u6d88\u5316\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0b\u5468\u964d\u606f 25 \u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u9884\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u9e3d\u6d3e\u964d\u606f\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u906d\u9047\u629b\u552e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u4e5f\u4ece\u4e2d\u83b7\u76ca\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u672c\u5468\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u56e0\u503a\u5238\u62cd\u5356\u5f3a\u52b2\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u652f\u6491\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u5468\u56f4\u7684\u4eba\u6c14\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u91d1\u4ef7\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5468\u4e94\u8fc4\u4eca\u4e3a\u6b62\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4e2d\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u62c5\u5fe7\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u523a\u6fc0\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u6d88\u9000\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u6b63\u5728\u83b7\u5f97\u65b0\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u300a\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u65e5\u62a5\u300b\u5728\u4e00\u7bc7\u5c01\u95ed\u62a5\u9053\u4e2d\u62a5\u9053\u79f0\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f00\u59cb\u901a\u8fc7\u90e8\u7f72\u975e\u5173\u7a0e\u63aa\u65bd\u6765\u62a5\u590d\u5373\u5c06\u4e0a\u4efb\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5728\u5f53\u5929\u665a\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u6ca1\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u9876\u7ea7\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u4ece\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u4e2d\u83b7\u53d6\u7ebf\u7d22\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading has-vivid-red-color has-text-color has-small-font-size\"><strong>\u9ec4\u91d1\u6bcf\u65e5\u6280\u672f\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"402\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/image-10-1024x402.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-22554\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/image-10-1024x402.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/image-10-300x118.png 300w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/image-10-768x302.png 768w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/image-10-1536x603.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/image-10-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/image-10.png 1592w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5468\u56db\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u5728\u9ad8\u4f4d\u906d\u9047\u963b\u529b\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u5468\u4e94\u65e9\u76d8\u5728 50 \u65e5\u7b80\u5355\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u7ebf (SMA) 2,671 \u7f8e\u5143\u5904\u627e\u5230\u652f\u6491\u300214 \u65e5\u76f8\u5bf9\u5f3a\u5f31\u6307\u6570 (RSI) \u4e5f\u518d\u6b21\u51fa\u73b0\u4e0a\u884c\uff0c\u5e76\u4fdd\u6301\u5728 50 \u6c34\u5e73\u4e0a\u65b9\u3002\u5982\u679c\u91d1\u4ef7\u6062\u590d\u590d\u82cf\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u91cd\u65b0\u6d4b\u8bd5\u6570\u5468\u9ad8\u70b9 2,726 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u6b64\u4e4b\u4e0a\uff0c\u5fc3\u7406\u969c\u788d\u548c 11 \u6708 5 \u65e5\u9ad8\u70b9\u7684\u4ea4\u6c47\u70b9 2,750 \u7f8e\u5143\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u5757\u96be\u5543\u7684\u9aa8\u5934\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u672a\u80fd\u65e5\u7ebf\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u5b88\u4f4f 50 \u65e5 sma \u652f\u6491\u4f4d 2,671 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5c06\u4fc3\u4f7f\u5356\u5bb6\u518d\u6b21\u7784\u51c6 21 \u65e5 sma 2,650 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u9ec4\u91d1\u4e70\u5bb6\u7684\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u9053\u9632\u7ebf\u662f\u4e0a\u5468\u7684\u4f4e\u70b9 2,613 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u7ee7\u5468\u4e09\u77ed\u6682\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u6709\u671b\u5728\u5468\u4e94\u65e9\u76d8\u6062\u590d\u672c\u5468\u7684\u53cd\u5f39\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u8fbe\u5230\u6bcf\u6708\u9ad8\u70b9 2,726 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u5468\u672b\u524d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u76f8\u5bf9\u6e05\u6de1\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e00\u8d77\u5de9\u56fa\u8fd1\u671f\u6da8\u5e45\u3002\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0b\u5468\u5c06\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u9884\u671f\u63a8\u52a8\u7f8e\u5143\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u5468\u4e09\u518d\u5ea6\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u4ece\u6570\u6708\u9ad8\u70b9\u5f00\u59cb\u56de\u8c03\u3002 \u5e02\u573a\u73b0\u5728\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u80fd\u5728 1 \u6708\u4efd\u6682\u505c\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u6b64\u524d\u9884\u671f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5c06\u5728 12 \u6708 17 \u65e5\u81f3 18 \u65e5\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u964d\u606f 25 \u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9 (bps)\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570 (PPI) \u6570\u636e\u597d\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f20\u9012\u51fa\u5f3a\u786c\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u300211 \u6708 PPI \u5e74\u5ea6\u589e\u957f 3.0%\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 2.6% \u7684\u589e\u957f\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6838\u5fc3 PPI \u5e74\u5ea6\u6570\u636e\u540c\u671f\u4e0a\u6da8 3.4%\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u9884\u671f\u7684 3.2%\u3002\u6708\u5ea6 PPI \u548c\u6838\u5fc3 PPI \u5206\u522b\u4e0a\u6da8 0.4% \u548c 0.2%\u3002CME\u7684 FedWatch \u5de5\u5177\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5df2\u5145\u5206\u6d88\u5316\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0b\u5468\u964d\u606f 25 \u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u9884\u671f\u3002 \u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u9e3d\u6d3e\u964d\u606f\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u906d\u9047\u629b\u552e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u4e5f\u4ece\u4e2d\u83b7\u76ca\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u672c\u5468\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u56e0\u503a\u5238\u62cd\u5356\u5f3a\u52b2\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u652f\u6491\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u5468\u56f4\u7684\u4eba\u6c14\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u91d1\u4ef7\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002 \u5468\u4e94\u8fc4\u4eca\u4e3a\u6b62\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4e2d\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u62c5\u5fe7\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u523a\u6fc0\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u6d88\u9000\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u6b63\u5728\u83b7\u5f97\u65b0\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u300a\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u65e5\u62a5\u300b\u5728\u4e00\u7bc7\u5c01\u95ed\u62a5\u9053\u4e2d\u62a5\u9053\u79f0\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f00\u59cb\u901a\u8fc7\u90e8\u7f72\u975e\u5173\u7a0e\u63aa\u65bd\u6765\u62a5\u590d\u5373\u5c06\u4e0a\u4efb\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u3002 \u5728\u5f53\u5929\u665a\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u6ca1\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u9876\u7ea7\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u4ece\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u4e2d\u83b7\u53d6\u7ebf\u7d22\u3002\u672c\u5468\u672b\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u6d41\u52a8\u548c\u4e0b\u5468\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u653f\u7b56\u51b3\u5b9a\u524d\u7684\u91cd\u65b0\u5b9a\u4f4d\u4e5f\u5c06\u5728\u63a8\u52a8\u91d1\u4ef7\u65b9\u9762\u53d1\u6325\u4f5c\u7528\u3002 \u9ec4\u91d1\u6bcf\u65e5\u6280\u672f\u5206\u6790 \u5468\u56db\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u5728\u9ad8\u4f4d\u906d\u9047\u963b\u529b\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u5468\u4e94\u65e9\u76d8\u5728 50 \u65e5\u7b80\u5355\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u7ebf (SMA) 2,671 \u7f8e\u5143\u5904\u627e\u5230\u652f\u6491\u300214 \u65e5\u76f8\u5bf9\u5f3a\u5f31\u6307\u6570 (RSI) \u4e5f\u518d\u6b21\u51fa\u73b0\u4e0a\u884c\uff0c\u5e76\u4fdd\u6301\u5728 50 \u6c34\u5e73\u4e0a\u65b9\u3002\u5982\u679c\u91d1\u4ef7\u6062\u590d\u590d\u82cf\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u91cd\u65b0\u6d4b\u8bd5\u6570\u5468\u9ad8\u70b9 2,726 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u6b64\u4e4b\u4e0a\uff0c\u5fc3\u7406\u969c\u788d\u548c &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/zh\/daily-commentary-141-20241213\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span 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