{"id":24067,"date":"2026-07-16T04:19:08","date_gmt":"2026-07-16T04:19:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=24067"},"modified":"2026-07-16T04:19:08","modified_gmt":"2026-07-16T04:19:08","slug":"daily-commentary-432","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-432-20260716\/","title":{"rendered":"Ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u00e1n XAU\/USD s\u1ebd duy tr\u00ec quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t khi v\u1eabn d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 21 ng\u00e0y"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ed1c $4.050 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 N\u0103m, khi c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t do gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng cao.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i t\u1eeb c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y b\u1edfi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Fed gi\u1ea3m do d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>V\u00e0ng v\u1eabn l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t giao d\u1ecbch \u2018b\u00e1n khi t\u0103ng gi\u00e1\u2019 do bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y nhi\u1ec1u r\u1ee7i ro gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 h\u01a1n.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111ang l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00e3 di\u1ec5n ra trong phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch ch\u00e2u \u00c1 h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa chuy\u1ec3n sang xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi \u0111ang ti\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng $4.000 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 N\u0103m.<\/p>\n<p>Kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 g\u00ec thay \u0111\u1ed5i v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi V\u00e0ng, khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t l\u00e0n s\u00f3ng t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng m\u1edbi gi\u1eefa Hoa K\u1ef3 (US) v\u00e0 Iran sau khi Hoa K\u1ef3 t\u00e1i \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t l\u1ec7nh phong t\u1ecfa h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u1edf eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz.<\/p>\n<p>Gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c ti\u00eau \u0111\u1ec1 m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t, B\u1ed9 Ch\u1ec9 huy Trung t\u00e2m Hoa K\u1ef3 (CENTCOM) cho bi\u1ebft h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng kh\u00e1c nh\u1eb1m v\u00e0o Iran trong n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp theo nh\u1eb1m gi\u1eef cho eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz m\u1edf c\u1eeda.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u00e1p l\u1ea1i, truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc Iran \u0111\u01b0a tin v\u00e0o s\u00e1ng th\u1ee9 N\u0103m r\u1eb1ng Tehran \u0111\u00e3 k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng \u1edf Tehran \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi 'c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda th\u00f9 \u0111\u1ecbch'.'<\/p>\n<p>Iran \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 sau nhi\u1ec1u ng\u00e0y M\u1ef9 kh\u00f4ng k\u00edch b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecba \u0111i\u1ec3m qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u1edf c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng trong c\u00e1i m\u00e0 h\u1ecd g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 \u201ccu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn sinh t\u1ed3n\u201d v\u1edbi M\u1ef9, theo The Guardian.<\/p>\n<p>C\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng gi\u1eef gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t h\u00e0ng th\u00e1ng, l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u00e0 t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c ho\u00e0n h\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ec3 C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n hai \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn trong n\u0103m nay.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 cung c\u1ea5p m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 cho \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (USD), t\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m vi\u1ebft b\u00e0i, gi\u00fap \u0111\u1ed3ng Greenback ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong th\u00e1ng so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a n\u00f3, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi V\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng sinh l\u1eddi.<\/p>\n<p>Ngo\u00e0i ra, \u0111\u00e0 b\u00e1n th\u00e1o tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n ch\u00e2u \u00c1, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t b\u1edfi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t chip, \u0111\u00e3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y nhu c\u1ea7u tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi USD, l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi v\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, v\u1eabn c\u00f2n ph\u1ea3i xem li\u1ec7u v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m hay ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i khi c\u00f3 b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 tin t\u1ee9c n\u00e0o cho th\u1ea5y kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng gi\u1ea3m c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u1ea7u tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y, m\u1ecdi \u0111\u1ee3t gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ec1u nhanh ch\u00f3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c mua v\u00e0o, nh\u1edd s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 th\u00e1ng 6 th\u1ea5p, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y khi\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c Fed t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t s\u1eafp t\u1edbi.<\/p>\n<p>H\u00f4m th\u1ee9 Ba, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t CPI c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 (kh\u00f4ng bao g\u1ed3m th\u1ef1c ph\u1ea9m v\u00e0 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng) kh\u00f4ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i so v\u1edbi th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc, \u0111\u01b0a t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t trong 12 th\u00e1ng qua xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c 2,6%, th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t l\u00e0 0,2% v\u00e0 2,9%.<\/p>\n<p>Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 T\u01b0 cho th\u1ea5y Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Gi\u00e1 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t (PPI) \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m 0,3% trong th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc, sau khi ghi nh\u1eadn m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng 0,6% (\u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3m) trong th\u00e1ng 5.<\/p>\n<p>X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 7 \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 11%, so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t ng\u1ee5 \u00fd l\u00e0 45% v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u tu\u1ea7n. Tuy nhi\u00ean, theo c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 FedWatch c\u1ee7a CME Group, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1eabn \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t ngang nhau cho vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u00edt nh\u1ea5t 25 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9.<\/p>\n<p>T\u1ed1i nay, m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1, bao g\u1ed3m Doanh s\u1ed1 b\u00e1n l\u1ebb v\u00e0 Y\u00eau c\u1ea7u tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 cung c\u1ea5p th\u00eam c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u m\u1edbi v\u1ec1 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Fed, g\u00e2y bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng quanh gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"390\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-16-1024x390.png\" alt=\"Gold Technical Analysis\" class=\"wp-image-24068\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-16-1024x390.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-16-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-16-768x292.png 768w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-16-1536x585.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-16-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-16.png 1647w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y, c\u1eb7p XAU\/USD \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,036.20, ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n khi gi\u00e1 giao ngay v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t so v\u1edbi t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u00ednh. \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n (SMA) 21 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,089.39 l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t, trong khi SMA 50 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,306,83 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n h\u01a1n l\u00e0 200 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 100 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,495,95 v\u00e0 $4,548,35 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac \u00e1p l\u1ef1c m\u1ea1nh t\u1eeb tr\u00ean xu\u1ed1ng. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh T\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (RSI 14) \u1edf m\u1ee9c kho\u1ea3ng 41 cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng suy y\u1ebfu, g\u1ee3i \u00fd kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i y\u1ebfu thay v\u00ec m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd.<\/p>\n<p>V\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c, \u0111i\u1ec3m ch\u00fa \u00fd tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eaft t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c $4,036, n\u01a1i \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec3m xoay chi\u1ec1u ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n sau \u0111\u1ee3t s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y t\u1eeb c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c cao h\u01a1n. V\u1ec1 ph\u00eda t\u0103ng, m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i tr\u01b0\u1edbc ti\u00ean s\u1ebd c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 21 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c $4,089.39 tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn v\u00f9ng $4,306.83 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u b\u1edfi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 50 ng\u00e0y; ch\u1ec9 khi c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1 b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua c\u00e1c ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng n\u00e0y, \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 m\u1edbi b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt, trong khi d\u1ea3i $4,495.95\u2013$4,548.35 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh b\u1edfi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 200 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 100 ng\u00e0y v\u1eabn l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 xa.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold turns south below $4,050 early Thursday as continued US-Iran hostilities stoke up Oil-driven inflation fears. The US Dollar recovers from recent declines, fuelled by US inflation data-led reduced Fed hike bets. Gold remains a \u2018sell-on-rise\u2019 trade as the daily chart points to more downside risks. Gold\u00a0is replicating the depreciation seen in Wednesday\u2019s Asian trades, &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-432-20260716\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;XAU\/USD sellers to retain control whilst below 21-day SMA&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24067","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24067","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24067"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24067\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24069,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24067\/revisions\/24069"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24067"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24067"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24067"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}