{"id":24061,"date":"2026-07-14T04:23:37","date_gmt":"2026-07-14T04:23:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=24061"},"modified":"2026-07-14T04:23:37","modified_gmt":"2026-07-14T04:23:37","slug":"daily-commentary-430","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-430-20260714\/","title":{"rendered":"XAU\/USD h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ebfn CPI c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 l\u1eddi khai c\u1ee7a Warsh cho \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i l\u1edbn ti\u1ebfp theo"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee3t ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong hai tu\u1ea7n v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 Ba, l\u1ea5y l\u1ea1i m\u1ed1c $4.000, b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eefng r\u1ee7i ro li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9 do ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi tr\u01b0\u1edbc b\u00e1o c\u00e1o l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t CPI c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 bu\u1ed5i \u0111i\u1ec1u tr\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Fed Warsh tr\u01b0\u1edbc Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111ang ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n sau \u0111\u1ee3t s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m 3% tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong hai tu\u1ea7n g\u1ea7n $3.985, v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i tr\u00ean m\u1ed1c $4.000 t\u1ea1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00e2u \u00c1 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Ba.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111ang ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n sau \u0111\u1ee3t s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong hai tu\u1ea7n g\u1ea7n $3.985, v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i tr\u00ean m\u1ed1c $4.000 t\u1ea1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00e2u \u00c1 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Ba. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0ng \u0111ang chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb tinh th\u1ea7n cho s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh khi d\u1eef li\u1ec7u Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Gi\u00e1 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng (CPI) c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1, ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 phi\u00ean \u0111i\u1ec1u tr\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed) Kevin Warsh.<\/p>\n<p>Sau \u0111\u1ee3t b\u00e1n th\u00e1o m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Hai, do c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 t\u00e1i di\u1ec5n gi\u1eefa Hoa K\u1ef3 (US) v\u00e0 Iran v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz, nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u00e1n v\u00e0ng d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111ang t\u1ea1m l\u1eafng, cho ph\u00e9p ng\u01b0\u1eddi mua th\u1eed v\u1eadn may tr\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1eefng r\u1ee7i ro l\u1edbn s\u1eafp t\u1edbi.<\/p>\n<p>S\u1ef1 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh nh\u1eb9 c\u1ee7a \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (USD) t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong hai tu\u1ea7n tr\u00ean di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng, gi\u1eefa l\u00fac ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi, \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh v\u1ecb th\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edbc cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1ec1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u tr\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a Warsh tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u1ee6y ban D\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh H\u1ea1 vi\u1ec7n v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Ba.<\/p>\n<p>Kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd c\u0169ng c\u00f3 v\u1ebb thu h\u00fat l\u1ef1c c\u1ea7u b\u1eaft \u0111\u00e1y, theo sau b\u00e1o c\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (EU) \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Sudan b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch nh\u1eafm m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau v\u00e0o ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Hai, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh n\u1ed9i chi\u1ebfn v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n.<\/p>\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd b\u1ecb h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf b\u1edfi c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng dai d\u1eb3ng \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u00e0 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c Fed t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9.<\/p>\n<p>Trong b\u1ea3n c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t v\u1ec1 Trung \u0110\u00f4ng, B\u1ed9 T\u01b0 l\u1ec7nh Trung t\u00e2m Hoa K\u1ef3 (CENTCOM) th\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n<p>Tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, B\u1ed9 Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng C\u00e1c Ti\u1ec3u v\u01b0\u01a1ng qu\u1ed1c \u1ea2 R\u1eadp Th\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t (UAE) cho bi\u1ebft hai t\u00e0u ch\u1edf d\u1ea7u qu\u1ed1c t\u1ecbch UAE l\u00e0 Mombasa v\u00e0 Al Bahiyah \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb tr\u00fang hai t\u00ean l\u1eeda h\u00e0nh tr\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a Iran \u1edf l\u00e0n ph\u00eda nam c\u1ee7a eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz, trong v\u00f9ng bi\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a Oman, theo Reuters.<\/p>\n<p>L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng V\u1ec7 binh C\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng H\u1ed3i gi\u00e1o Iran (IRGC) s\u1edbm x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn hai 'si\u00eau t\u00e0u ch\u1edf d\u1ea7u vi ph\u1ea1m' \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng v\u00e0 v\u00f4 hi\u1ec7u h\u00f3a t\u1ea1i Eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng \u201ch\u1ee3p t\u00e1c v\u1edbi 'k\u1ebb th\u00f9 x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c' tr\u00ean tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ee7y quan tr\u1ecdng s\u1ebd tr\u00ec ho\u00e3n vi\u1ec7c m\u1edf c\u1eeda l\u1ea1i tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ee7y v\u00e0 t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 s\u1ef1 leo thang t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb c\u1ea3 hai ph\u00eda, v\u1edbi t\u00e2m l\u00fd e ng\u1ea1i r\u1ee7i ro l\u00e0 ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh trong ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 Ba n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<p>Nh\u00ecn v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda tr\u01b0\u1edbc, \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng ti\u1ebfp theo c\u1ee7a v\u00e0ng s\u1ebd ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 CPI c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 l\u1eddi khai c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng Warsh, v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t b\u00e1o c\u00e1o l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n n\u00f3ng, k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng l\u1eddi l\u1ebd di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u c\u1ee7a t\u00e2n Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Fed, c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng l\u00e0m tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng th\u00eam n\u1ed7i \u0111au c\u1ee7a v\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"390\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-14-1024x390.png\" alt=\"Gold Technical Analysis\" class=\"wp-image-24062\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-14-1024x390.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-14-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-14-768x292.png 768w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-14-1536x585.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-14-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-14.png 1647w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y, c\u1eb7p XAU\/USD \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,014.46, ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n khi gi\u00e1 giao ngay duy tr\u00ec d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n (SMA) 21 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,111.01 v\u00e0 n\u1eb1m s\u00e2u h\u01a1n d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 50 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,331.69. \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 100 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,570.17 v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,495.01 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng ra ph\u00eda tr\u00ean gi\u00e1, c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac b\u1ecb k\u00ecm h\u00e3m, trong khi Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh T\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (RSI 14) \u1edf m\u1ee9c 38.65 n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung t\u00e2m v\u00e0 cho th\u1ea5y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 v\u1eabn c\u00f2n t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i thay v\u00ec t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng b\u00e1n qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t.<\/p>\n<p>\u1ede ph\u00eda t\u0103ng, ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ban \u0111\u1ea7u xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 21 ng\u00e0y (SMA) quanh m\u1ee9c $4,111, ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 h\u01a1n t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 50 ng\u00e0y (SMA) g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c $4,332. \u1ede m\u1ee9c cao h\u01a1n, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i $4,495 v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 100 ng\u00e0y g\u1ea7n $4,570 \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng cung r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n, c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea5y l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ec3 l\u00e0m d\u1ecbu b\u1edbt xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i. Do kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt g\u1ea7n n\u00e0o \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ec9 ra, b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ee3t gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 m\u1edbi n\u00e0o t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn v\u00e0ng ph\u1ea3i t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 m\u1edbi trong qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh gi\u1ea3m, khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u00eau tr\u00ean d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold sees a dead cat bounce from two-week lows early Tuesday, regains $4,000, despite US-Iran risks. The US Dollar eases on profit-taking ahead of US CPI inflation and Fed Chair Warsh\u2019s congressional hearings. Gold is recovering a part of the previous 3% slide to two-week lows near $3,985, back above the $4,000 level in Asia &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-430-20260714\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;XAU\/USD looks to US CPI and Warsh\u2019s testimony for the next big move&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24061","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24061","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24061"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24061\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24063,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24061\/revisions\/24063"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24061"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24061"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24061"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}