{"id":24046,"date":"2026-07-07T05:00:02","date_gmt":"2026-07-07T05:00:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=24046"},"modified":"2026-07-07T05:00:02","modified_gmt":"2026-07-07T05:00:02","slug":"daily-commentary-426","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-426-20260707\/","title":{"rendered":"T\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 XAU\/USD ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c $4.200 trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh s\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd \u0111ang d\u1ed3n v\u00e0o Bi\u00ean b\u1ea3n cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp c\u1ee7a Fed"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m trong ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 hai li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ee9 Hai, c\u00f3 v\u1ebb nh\u01b0 \u0111ang h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi m\u1ed1c $4.100.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 t\u00ecm th\u1ea5y ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 gi\u1eefa b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh t\u00e2m l\u00fd e ng\u1ea1i r\u1ee7i ro gia t\u0103ng do c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng \u1edf eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ee3t b\u00e1n th\u00e1o c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu ch\u00e2u \u00c1.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 b\u00e1n v\u00e0ng \u0111ang th\u1eed th\u00e1ch \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 21 ng\u00e0y (SMA) g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c $4,150 trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 RSI h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>V\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 Ba, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111ang gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong hai tu\u1ea7n, ch\u1ec9 cao h\u01a1n m\u1ed9t ch\u00fat so v\u1edbi m\u1ed1c $4,200, \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 hai li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp, khi phe b\u00e1n \u0111ang t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng m\u1ed1c $4,100.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e1c giao d\u1ecbch \"risk-off\" l\u1ea1i quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn, nh\u1edd v\u00e0o c\u00e1c v\u1ee5 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o nh\u1eafm v\u00e0o t\u00e0u th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u1edf Eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 b\u00e1n th\u00e1o c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu chip tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00e2u \u00c1, mang l\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t m\u1ee9c s\u00e0n cho \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (USD) tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n, l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu v\u00e0ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 b\u1eb1ng USD.<\/p>\n<p>M\u1ed9t ph\u00f3ng vi\u00ean c\u1ee7a Axios, tr\u00edch d\u1eabn m\u1ed9t quan ch\u1ee9c M\u1ef9, cho bi\u1ebft v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 Hai r\u1eb1ng Iran \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eafn \u00edt nh\u1ea5t hai t\u00ean l\u1eeda v\u00e0o c\u00e1c t\u00e0u th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u0111i qua eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz. C\u01a1 quan V\u1eadn t\u1ea3i H\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i V\u01b0\u01a1ng qu\u1ed1c Anh (UKMTO) c\u0169ng b\u00e1o c\u00e1o m\u1ed9t t\u00e0u ch\u1edf d\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb m\u1ed9t v\u1eadt th\u1ec3 l\u1ea1 b\u1eafn tr\u00fang \u1edf m\u1ea1n tr\u00e1i t\u1ea1i eo bi\u1ec3n n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<p>Nh\u1eefng v\u1ee5 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng b\u1ecb c\u00e1o bu\u1ed9c c\u1ee7a Iran \u1edf v\u00f9ng bi\u1ec3n Hormuz c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng gi\u1eefa Hoa K\u1ef3 (US) v\u00e0 Iran, g\u00e2y nguy hi\u1ec3m cho l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn mong manh v\u00e0 khi\u1ebfn t\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1edf n\u00ean b\u1ea5t an.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e1c c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu ch\u00e2u \u00c1 v\u1eabn ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n th\u00e1o m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd khi c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 b\u1ecb b\u00e1n th\u00e1o, theo sau \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m c\u1ee7a Samsung sau b\u00e1o c\u00e1o thu nh\u1eadp c\u1ee7a h\u00e3ng. Vi\u1ec7c h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai Nasdaq v\u1ed1n ch\u1ecbu \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1 b\u1edfi c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 gi\u1ea3m cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ee3t ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i tr\u00ean Ph\u1ed1 Wall v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Hai c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi.<\/p>\n<p>S\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y chuy\u1ec3n sang Bi\u00ean b\u1ea3n cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 th\u00e1ng 6 c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed), d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u200b\u200bv\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ea1 th\u1ea5p k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t s\u1edbm do d\u1eef li\u1ec7u Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd thu mua d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 ISM v\u00e0 B\u1ea3ng l\u01b0\u01a1ng phi n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 y\u1ebfu.<\/p>\n<p>Vi\u1ec7n Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd Cung \u1ee9ng (ISM) cho bi\u1ebft h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 Hai r\u1eb1ng Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd Mua h\u00e0ng D\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 (PMI) c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9 xu\u1ed1ng 54,0 trong th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c 54,5 c\u1ee7a th\u00e1ng 5. Th\u1ee9 N\u0103m tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc, s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m phi n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p (NFP) c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 trong th\u00e1ng 6 t\u0103ng 57.000, th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng 110.000. T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 tham gia l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng 61,5%, m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong 5 n\u0103m.<\/p>\n<p>Theo c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 FedWatch c\u1ee7a CME Group, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hi\u1ec7n d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t Fed t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 l\u00e0 57%, gi\u1ea3m so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c kho\u1ea3ng 70% tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi c\u00f3 c\u00e1c s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<p>Do \u0111\u00f3, Bi\u00ean b\u1ea3n cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp c\u1ee7a Fed s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c theo d\u00f5i ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1edbi v\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch m\u1edbi Kevin Warsh v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n<p>Trong th\u1eddi gian n\u00e0y, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0ng s\u1ebd t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o c\u00e1c di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb xung quanh eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz v\u00e0 c\u00e1c thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"390\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-07-1024x390.png\" alt=\"Gold Technical Analysis\" class=\"wp-image-24047\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-07-1024x390.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-07-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-07-768x292.png 768w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-07-1536x585.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-07-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-07.png 1647w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y, c\u1eb7p XAU\/USD \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,130.36, duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n khi gi\u00e1 giao ngay v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n (SMA) ch\u00ednh. \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n (SMA) 21 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,147.33 l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean ngay tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, trong khi SMA 50 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,382,65 v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,489,96 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 v\u00f9ng cung d\u00e0y \u0111\u1eb7c ph\u00eda tr\u00ean, trong khi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 100 ng\u00e0y d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,619,04 nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh T\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (RSI 14) quanh m\u1ee9c 44 v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh, cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 y\u1ebfu v\u00e0 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 vi\u1ec7c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111i ngang d\u01b0\u1edbi c\u00e1c ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<p>H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, Death Cross v\u1eabn c\u00f2n hi\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c sau khi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 50 ng\u00e0y \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 ng\u00e0y tr\u00ean c\u01a1 s\u1edf \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n, gi\u1eef cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u00e1n hy v\u1ecdng.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold is down for the second straight day early Monday, looking to challenge $4,100. The US Dollar finds a floor amid renewed risk aversion on Hormuz tensions and an Asian stock sell-off. Gold sellers test the 21-day SMA near $4,150 as the daily RSI remains bearish. Gold\u00a0is retreating from two-week highs just above $4,200 for &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-426-20260707\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;XAU\/USD extends pullback from $4,200 as eyes turn to Fed Minutes&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24046","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24046","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24046"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24046\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24048,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24046\/revisions\/24048"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24046"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24046"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24046"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}