{"id":24040,"date":"2026-07-03T04:40:29","date_gmt":"2026-07-03T04:40:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=24040"},"modified":"2026-07-03T04:40:29","modified_gmt":"2026-07-03T04:40:29","slug":"daily-commentary-424","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-424-20260703\/","title":{"rendered":"XAU\/USD c\u1ea7n \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda tu\u1ea7n \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao h\u01a1n $4,165 \u0111\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng sau b\u00e1o c\u00e1o NFP c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u, hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong 8 ng\u00e0y, ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n c\u00e1ch m\u1ed1c $4.200 m\u1ed9t ch\u00fat.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n gi\u1eefa b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c Fed t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ee3t b\u00e1n th\u00e1o USD\/JPY.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>C\u1ea5u tr\u00fac k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt c\u1ee7a v\u00e0ng cho th\u1ea5y m\u1ed9t giao d\u1ecbch \u2018b\u00e1n khi h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c\u2019 trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh RSI gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0 M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Ch\u1ebft Ch\u00f3c.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Trong phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch ch\u00e2u \u00c1 h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111ang duy tr\u00ec \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong 8 ng\u00e0y, ch\u1ec9 d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ed1c $4.200, v\u00e0 \u0111ang tr\u00ean \u0111\u00e0 ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t chu\u1ed7i 4 tu\u1ea7n gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp.<\/p>\n<p>S\u1ee9c mua \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi v\u00e0ng v\u1eabn kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u suy gi\u1ea3m khi kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd n\u00e0y ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong b\u1ea3y th\u00e1ng l\u00e0 $3,942 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed3i \u0111\u1ea7u tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y. Trong qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh \u0111\u00f3, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 quan tr\u1ecdng, nh\u1edd v\u00e0o \u0111\u00e0 suy y\u1ebfu \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (USD) so v\u1edbi s\u00e1u \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t kh\u00e1c.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 ch\u1ecbu g\u00e1nh n\u1eb7ng t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c ngo\u1ea1i giao m\u1edbi gi\u1eefa Hoa K\u1ef3 (M\u1ef9) v\u00e0 Iran h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh v\u0129nh vi\u1ec5n v\u00e0 \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111ang gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n.<\/p>\n<p>Qatar cho bi\u1ebft h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 T\u01b0 r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c trung gian gi\u1eefa Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u00e0 Iran \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u201cti\u1ebfn tri\u1ec3n t\u00edch c\u1ef1c\u201d. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, Iran \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a ra m\u1ed9t l\u1eddi c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o m\u1edbi y\u00eau c\u1ea7u c\u00e1c t\u00e0u thuy\u1ec1n tu\u00e2n theo c\u00e1c tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng do Tehran ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ecbnh qua eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz.<\/p>\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng m\u1ea5y ch\u00fa \u00fd \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng khi s\u1ef1 l\u1ea1c quan v\u1ec1 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng Fed b\u1edbt \"di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u\" \u0111ang n\u00e2ng cao t\u00e2m l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro.<\/p>\n<p>H\u00f4m th\u1ee9 N\u0103m, s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m phi n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 trong th\u00e1ng 6 t\u0103ng 57.000 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m, th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng 110.000 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m. T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 tham gia l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng 61,5%, m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong h\u01a1n 5 n\u0103m qua. D\u1eef li\u1ec7u vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m y\u1ebfu k\u00e9m n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng M\u1ef9 \u0111ang x\u1ea5u \u0111i v\u00e0 khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9.<\/p>\n<p>Theo c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 FedWatch c\u1ee7a CME Group, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng x\u1ea3y ra \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i n\u00e0y v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 \u1edf m\u1ee9c kho\u1ea3ng 54%, gi\u1ea3m so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 66% tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi d\u1eef li\u1ec7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1.<\/p>\n<p>Nh\u1eefng b\u00ecnh lu\u1eadn g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Fed Kevin Warsh, v\u1ed1n b\u1edbt \"di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u\" h\u01a1n, c\u0169ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean \u0111\u1ed3ng USD, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u t\u1ed1t cho V\u00e0ng - lo\u1ea1i t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n kh\u00f4ng sinh l\u00e3i. \u00d4ng Warsh cho bi\u1ebft \u00f4ng c\u1ea3m th\u1ea5y ph\u1ea5n ch\u1ea5n tr\u01b0\u1edbc vi\u1ec7c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t trong m\u1ed9t b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u t\u1ea1i Di\u1ec5n \u0111\u00e0n c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (ECB) \u1edf Sintra v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0.<\/p>\n<p>H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, \u0111\u1ee3t b\u00e1n th\u00e1o USD\/JPY g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh r\u1ee7i ro can thi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n \u0111ang hi\u1ec7n h\u1eefu, l\u1ea1i t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t l\u1ef1c c\u1ea3n cho \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n<p>Nh\u00ecn v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda tr\u01b0\u1edbc, v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a r\u00f5 li\u1ec7u v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 gi\u1eef v\u1eefng \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i hay kh\u00f4ng, v\u00ec c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i tu\u1ea7n v\u00e0 thanh kho\u1ea3n m\u1ecfng, v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c M\u1ef9 k\u1ef7 ni\u1ec7m Ng\u00e0y Qu\u1ed1c kh\u00e1nh v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u.<\/p>\n<p>Ngo\u00e0i ra, c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt c\u1ee7a v\u00e0ng tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o ng\u01b0\u1eddi mua, m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"390\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-03-1024x390.png\" alt=\"Gold Technical Analysis\" class=\"wp-image-24041\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-03-1024x390.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-03-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-03-768x292.png 768w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-03-1536x585.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-03-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-03.png 1647w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y, c\u1eb7p XAU\/USD \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,182.02. Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n v\u1eabn l\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m khi gi\u00e1 duy tr\u00ec d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n (SMA) 50 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,402.46, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,486.06 v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 100 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,636.39, khi\u1ebfn c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 v\u1eabn b\u1ecb k\u00ecm h\u00e3m d\u00f9 \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee3t ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i nh\u1eb9 t\u1eeb c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y. \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 21 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,165.03 hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ed9ng g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t, trong khi Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh T\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (RSI 14) \u1edf m\u1ee9c 47,24 dao \u0111\u1ed9ng ngay d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung l\u1eadp, cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m \u0111ang suy y\u1ebfu nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, thay v\u00ec m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n<p>H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, Death Cross v\u1eabn c\u00f2n hi\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c sau khi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 50 ng\u00e0y \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 ng\u00e0y tr\u00ean c\u01a1 s\u1edf \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc, gi\u1eef hy v\u1ecdng cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u00e1n.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold builds on post-US NFP gains early Friday, sitting at eight-day highs just shy of $4,200. The US Dollar eyes a weekly loss amid easing Fed rate hike bets and the USD\/JPY sell-off. Gold\u2019s technical setup suggests a \u2018sell-on-bounce\u2019 trade amid bearish RSI and Death Cross. Gold\u00a0is holding firm near eight-day highs just below $4,200 &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-424-20260703\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;XAU\/USD needs a weekly closing above $4,165 to sustain the recovery&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24040","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24040","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24040"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24040\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24042,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24040\/revisions\/24042"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24040"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24040"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24040"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}