{"id":24033,"date":"2026-07-01T05:33:29","date_gmt":"2026-07-01T05:33:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=24033"},"modified":"2026-07-01T05:33:29","modified_gmt":"2026-07-01T05:33:29","slug":"daily-commentary-422","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-422-20260701\/","title":{"rendered":"D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o V\u00e0ng: H\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a XAU\/USD v\u1eabn nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda gi\u1ea3m tr\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1ec1m Warsh"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng l\u1ea1i ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 T\u01b0 v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c $4.000.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 nh\u1edd USD\/JPY t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt, b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n Trung \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng Fed di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng v\u1eabn c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e1y th\u00e1ng 11 n\u0103m 2025 g\u1ea7n $3,930 trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt cho th\u1ea5y xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1eefng l\u1ea1i trong \u0111\u1ee3t ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i ng\u1eafn ng\u1ee7i l\u00ean tr\u00ean m\u1ed1c $4.000 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, v\u00e0 quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong b\u1ea3y th\u00e1ng l\u00e0 $3.942 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t ng\u00e0y tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00f9 tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c nh\u1eb1m l\u1ea5y l\u1ea1i m\u1ed1c $4,000, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 b\u00e1n v\u00e0ng v\u1eabn ki\u00ean quy\u1ebft kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ecbu t\u1eeb b\u1ecf trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (USD) li\u00ean t\u1ee5c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c mua v\u00e0o tr\u00ean di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng, khi\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c n\u1eafm gi\u1eef v\u00e0ng tr\u1edf n\u00ean t\u1ed1n k\u00e9m h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng M\u1ef9-Iran \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra, k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng hawkish xoay quanh tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) v\u00e0 c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n USD\/JPY t\u0103ng l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong b\u1ed1n th\u1eadp k\u1ef7.<\/p>\n<p>Sau khi Hoa K\u1ef3 (US) v\u00e0 Iran trao \u0111\u1ed5i c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i tu\u1ea7n v\u1ec1 quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1eabn c\u1ea3nh gi\u00e1c tr\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3.<\/p>\n<p>B\u00e1o c\u00e1o m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a t\u1edd Wall Street Journal (WSJ) v\u00e0o h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 T\u01b0 cho bi\u1ebft T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 tham kh\u1ea3o \u00fd ki\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng Pete Hegseth v\u00e0 Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng Tham m\u01b0u tr\u01b0\u1edfng Li\u00ean qu\u00e2n, T\u01b0\u1edbng Dan Caine, v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u00e1i chi\u1ebfn tranh v\u1edbi Iran nh\u01b0ng t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi \u0111\u00e3 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u01b0u ti\u00ean c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p ngo\u1ea1i giao.<\/p>\n<p>Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, b\u00e1o c\u00e1o v\u1ec1 s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m JOLTS c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Ba \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng Fed t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu kho b\u1ea1c M\u1ef9, th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 ti\u1ebfp theo c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng USD.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 FedWatch c\u1ee7a T\u1eadp \u0111o\u00e0n CME cho th\u1ea5y th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 \u1edf m\u1ee9c kho\u1ea3ng 67%, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh ni\u1ec1m tin ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng r\u1eb1ng C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed) v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a k\u1ebft th\u00fac chu k\u1ef3 th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7.<\/p>\n<p>Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng c\u1ee7a l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu Kho b\u1ea1c Hoa K\u1ef3 l\u00e0m n\u1edbi r\u1ed9ng ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, l\u00e0m tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng th\u00eam \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean Nh\u1eadt (JPY) v\u00e0 gi\u1eef t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 USD\/JPY \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong b\u1ed1n th\u1eadp k\u1ef7, g\u1ea7n 162,80 v\u00e0o th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m vi\u1ebft b\u00e0i.<\/p>\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, m\u1ecdi \u00e1nh m\u1eaft gi\u1edd \u0111\u1ed5 d\u1ed3n v\u1ec1 di\u1ec5n \u0111\u00e0n th\u01b0\u1eddng ni\u00ean c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (ECB) t\u1ea1i Sintra, B\u1ed3 \u0110\u00e0o Nha, v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i ng\u00e0y, n\u01a1i Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a Fed, Kevin Warsh, tham gia v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t h\u1ed9i th\u1ea3o ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch quan tr\u1ecdng. C\u00e1c ph\u00e1t ng\u00f4n c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem x\u00e9t k\u1ef9 l\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u0111\u1ec3 kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u1ea1i vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a Fed, sau m\u00e0n ra m\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7y \"di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u\" b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd c\u1ee7a Warsh v\u1edbi t\u01b0 c\u00e1ch l\u00e0 Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Fed v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"390\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-01-1024x390.png\" alt=\"Gold Technical Analysis\" class=\"wp-image-24034\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-01-1024x390.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-01-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-01-768x292.png 768w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-01-1536x585.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-01-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-01.png 1647w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y, c\u1eb7p XAU\/USD \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c $3,978.72, ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u00ednh v\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n. \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n (SMA) 21 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c kho\u1ea3ng $4,191 hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t, trong khi SMA 50 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c kho\u1ea3ng $4,423 v\u00e0 SMA 200 ng\u00e0y g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c $4,482 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 v\u00f9ng cung tr\u00ean r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n, trong khi SMA 100 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao h\u01a1n kho\u1ea3ng $4,653 nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ed9 s\u00e2u c\u1ee7a xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m trung h\u1ea1n. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh T\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (RSI 14) dao \u0111\u1ed9ng g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c 33, cho th\u1ea5y t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng b\u00e1n qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c c\u1ef1c \u0111oan, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n<p>C\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 th\u00eam cho xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh Death Cross v\u1eabn c\u00f2n hi\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c sau khi \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n (SMA) 50 ng\u00e0y \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda d\u01b0\u1edbi SMA 200 ng\u00e0y tr\u00ean c\u01a1 s\u1edf \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold comes under renewed selling pressure early Wednesday and gives up $4,000 yet again. The US Dollar stands tall on surging USD\/JPY, Mideast woes and hawkish Fed bets. Gold remains poised to crack November 2025 lows near $3,930 amid bearish technicals. Gold\u00a0faltered in its brief recovery stint above the $4,000 mark in early Wednesday\u2019s trading, &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-422-20260701\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Gold Forecast: XAU\/USD\u2019s path of least resistance remains to downside ahead of Warsh&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24033","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24033","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24033"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24033\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24035,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24033\/revisions\/24035"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24033"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24033"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24033"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}