{"id":23512,"date":"2026-01-12T05:08:18","date_gmt":"2026-01-12T05:08:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=23512"},"modified":"2026-01-12T05:08:18","modified_gmt":"2026-01-12T05:08:18","slug":"daily-commentary-326","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-326-20260112\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u00e0ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c chu\u1ed7i t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed)."},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c $4,600 l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed v\u00e0o s\u00e1ng s\u1edbm th\u1ee9 Hai, sau \u0111\u00f3 gi\u1ea3m do ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u0110\u1ed3ng USD suy y\u1ebfu tr\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1eefng ch\u1ec9 tr\u00edch m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a Trump v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed) v\u00e0 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>V\u00e0ng x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u khi v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua m\u1ee9c $4,490; \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c. \u00a0\u00a0<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>V\u00e0ng \u0111ang duy tr\u00ec \u0111\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c cao k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c m\u1edbi tr\u00ean $4,600 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Hai, kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ea7u tu\u1ea7n v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh, nh\u1edd v\u00e0o t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng gia t\u0103ng v\u00e0 lo ng\u1ea1i ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng s\u00e2u s\u1eafc v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed), c\u1ea3 hai y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec1u g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng r\u1ee7i ro cao.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111\u1ed5 x\u00f4 t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm s\u1ef1 an to\u00e0n trong t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng l\u00e0 V\u00e0ng, sau khi ti\u1ebfp nh\u1eadn c\u00e1c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o cu\u1ed1i tu\u1ea7n cho bi\u1ebft T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump \u0111ang xem x\u00e9t m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t c\u00e1c l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng t\u1ea1i Iran, sau nhi\u1ec1u ng\u00e0y b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n d\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u00e0 trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 Iran s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng v\u0169 l\u1ef1c ch\u1ebft ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i d\u00e2n th\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, nh\u1eefng c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i gi\u1eefa Nga v\u00e0 Ukraine c\u0169ng g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng t\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng B\u1ea3o an Li\u00ean H\u1ee3p Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 tri\u1ec7u t\u1eadp m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp kh\u1ea9n c\u1ea5p v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Hai sau khi Nga s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng t\u00ean l\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea1o si\u00eau thanh Oreshnik m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u trong m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn v\u00e0o Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1eabn t\u1ecf ra th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed) sau khi c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng t\u1ed1 vi\u00ean li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 m\u1edf cu\u1ed9c \u0111i\u1ec1u tra h\u00ecnh s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Jerome Powell li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c c\u1ea3i t\u1ea1o tr\u1ee5 s\u1edf ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ea1i Washington.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>C\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 n\u00e0y, k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng cao h\u01a1n v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed) c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong n\u0103m nay, ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ed3ng USD, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y t\u00e2m l\u00fd t\u00edch c\u1ef1c xung quanh v\u00e0ng - m\u1ed9t t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n kh\u00f4ng sinh l\u00e3i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>D\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m ngo\u00e0i n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng th\u00eam 50.000 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m trong th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc, sau khi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng 56.000 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m trong th\u00e1ng 11 v\u00e0 th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng 60.000 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m. T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng 4,41% trong th\u00e1ng 12, so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o 4,51%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>S\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd hi\u1ec7n nay t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o d\u1eef li\u1ec7u CPI c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 cho th\u00e1ng 12, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd mang l\u1ea1i s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1edbi cho th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. D\u1eef li\u1ec7u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Fed v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 3, v\u1edbi x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i kho\u1ea3ng 30%, theo c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 FedWatch c\u1ee7a CME Group.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi, c\u00e1c di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed) s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading has-vivid-red-color has-text-color has-small-font-size\">Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"364\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-4-1024x364.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23513\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-4-1024x364.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-4-300x107.png 300w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-4-768x273.png 768w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-4-18x6.png 18w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-4.png 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y, XAU\/USD giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,575.47. C\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng (SMA) 21 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 50 ng\u00e0y ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng v\u00e0 v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi gi\u00e1, cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd. C\u00e1c SMA ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n n\u1eb1m tr\u00ean c\u00e1c SMA 100 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 200 ng\u00e0y, v\u1edbi t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ec1u t\u0103ng v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi mua \u0111ang ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 21 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i $4,403.01 cung c\u1ea5p h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ed9ng g\u1ea7n. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh T\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (RSI) 14 hi\u1ec3n th\u1ecb 69 (g\u1ea7n v\u00f9ng qu\u00e1 mua), ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u1ea1nh; m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n n\u1ebfu ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua m\u1ee9c 70. M\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nh\u1eafm \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 50 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i $4,243.70.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>C\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n (SMAs) c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng khi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng 100 ng\u00e0y t\u0103ng l\u00ean $4,032.27 v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng 200 ng\u00e0y l\u00ean $3,674.30, c\u1ea3 hai \u0111\u1ec1u n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i. S\u1ef1 s\u1eafp x\u1ebfp t\u00edch c\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n n\u1eb1m tr\u00ean c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 cho vi\u1ec7c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng, trong khi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec tr\u00ean c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 21 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 50 ng\u00e0y. RSI \u1edf m\u1ee9c 69 v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m ngay d\u01b0\u1edbi v\u00f9ng qu\u00e1 mua, duy tr\u00ec \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ec3 ng\u1ecf kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n n\u1ebfu gi\u1ea3m v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c 60. H\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ban \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u1ebfp l\u1edbp t\u1ea1i $4,403.01\u2013$4,243.70, trong khi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 chung s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c n\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 duy tr\u00ec tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 100 ng\u00e0y \u0111ang t\u0103ng.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold is holding its profit-taking pullback from fresh record highs just above $4,600 on Monday, starting the week with a bang, courtesy of escalating geopolitical tensions and intensifying concerns over the US Federal Reserve\u2019s independence, which both induce a full-fledged risk-off environment. Investors flock to safety in the traditional store of value, Gold, digesting the &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-326-20260112\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;GOLD resumes record-setting run amid geopolitical and Fed concerns&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23512","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23512","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23512"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23512\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23514,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23512\/revisions\/23514"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23512"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23512"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23512"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}