{"id":23453,"date":"2025-12-17T05:41:23","date_gmt":"2025-12-17T05:41:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=23453"},"modified":"2025-12-17T05:41:23","modified_gmt":"2025-12-17T05:41:23","slug":"daily-commentary-316","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-316-20251217\/","title":{"rendered":"Nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 l\u1ea1c quan \u0111ang ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i s\u1ef1 b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1 kh\u1ecfi v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e3 duy tr\u00ec trong nhi\u1ec1u ng\u00e0y, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed) c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t."},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>V\u00e0ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c duy tr\u00ec \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0 nh\u1edd s\u1ef1 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>K\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed) v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng r\u1ee7i ro y\u1ebfu h\u01a1n \u0111ang t\u1ea1o \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i cho kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>M\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i nh\u1eb9 c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng USD c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng th\u00eam tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi b\u00e1o c\u00e1o CPI c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 N\u0103m.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>V\u00e0ng thu h\u00fat c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 m\u1edbi trong phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch ch\u00e2u \u00c1 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 v\u1eabn b\u1ecb gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n trong ph\u1ea1m vi giao d\u1ecbch k\u00e9o d\u00e0i nhi\u1ec1u ng\u00e0y do c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n tr\u00e1i chi\u1ec1u. T\u00e2m l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u1eabn \u1edf tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 tr\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1eefng kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 bong b\u00f3ng tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 nh\u00e2n t\u1ea1o (AI) c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u1ee1. H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 cho kim lo\u1ea1i v\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng sinh l\u00e3i, tuy nhi\u00ean, s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng nh\u1eb9 c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng USD c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 ti\u1ebfp theo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>D\u1eef li\u1ec7u ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Hai cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u0103ng 4,81% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i (YoY) trong th\u00e1ng 11, \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng y\u1ebfu nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 8\/2024. Ngo\u00e0i ra, doanh s\u1ed1 b\u00e1n l\u1ebb t\u0103ng 1,31%, ho\u1eb7c m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng y\u1ebfu nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 12\/2022. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn th\u1ee9 hai th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, b\u00e1o c\u00e1o NFP c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Ba cho th\u1ea5y d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u suy y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m kh\u1ea9u v\u1ecb r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n r\u1ee7i ro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>C\u1ee5c Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea Lao \u0111\u1ed9ng Hoa K\u1ef3 (BLS) cho bi\u1ebft n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o th\u00eam 64.000 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m trong th\u00e1ng 11, v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng 50.000 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m. Tuy nhi\u00ean, con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y b\u1ecb b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp b\u1edfi c\u00e1c s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u \u1ea3m \u0111\u1ea1m c\u1ee7a th\u00e1ng 10, cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m 105.000 do \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda. Th\u00eam v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean 4,61% v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc, m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 9 n\u0103m 2021. H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, m\u1ee9c l\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u0169ng cho th\u1ea5y d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1c v\u00e0 t\u0103ng 0,11% trong th\u00e1ng 11.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ri\u00eang bi\u1ec7t, doanh s\u1ed1 b\u00e1n l\u1ebb c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean trong th\u00e1ng 10 sau khi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3m 0,11% so v\u1edbi th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc. K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 n\u00e0y th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o v\u00e0 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o cho bi\u1ebft T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd ph\u1ecfng v\u1ea5n Christopher Waller cho v\u1ecb tr\u00ed Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Fed. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 tin r\u1eb1ng Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Fed m\u1edbi, ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 Trump, s\u1ebd c\u00f3 l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u00f4n h\u00f2a v\u00e0 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u1ed3ng USD v\u1eabn thu h\u00fat m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 10, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 XAU\/USD th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n trong vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd. Do \u0111\u00f3, s\u1ebd th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n n\u1ebfu ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1 b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng kh\u1ecfi ph\u1ea1m vi giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i nhi\u1ec1u ng\u00e0y tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb th\u1ebf cho \u0111\u1ee3t di chuy\u1ec3n ti\u1ebfp theo c\u1ee7a c\u1eb7p XAU\/USD. S\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hi\u1ec7n chuy\u1ec3n sang vi\u1ec7c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 N\u0103m.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trong th\u1eddi gian n\u00e0y, c\u00e1c ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u t\u1eeb c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a \u1ee6y ban Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng M\u1edf Li\u00ean bang (FOMC) s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c theo d\u00f5i \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u v\u1ec1 h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed). Tuy nhi\u00ean, s\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd v\u1eabn s\u1ebd t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o c\u00e1c s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, v\u1ed1n s\u1ebd \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 quan tr\u1ecdng trong vi\u1ec7c \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i gi\u00e1 USD v\u00e0 t\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 cho gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng. Tuy nhi\u00ean, b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n n\u00eau tr\u00ean \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 phe mua v\u00e0 cho th\u1ea5y r\u1eb1ng h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng nh\u1ea5t cho v\u00e0ng v\u1eabn l\u00e0 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading has-vivid-red-color has-text-color has-small-font-size\">Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"427\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-9-1024x427.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23463\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-9-1024x427.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-9-300x125.png 300w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-9-768x321.png 768w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-9-18x8.png 18w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-9.png 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>C\u1eb7p XAU\/USD duy tr\u00ec \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng EMA 200 k\u1ef3 \u0111ang t\u0103ng t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng $4,258, v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed9 d\u1ed1c h\u01b0\u1edbng l\u00ean v\u00e0 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng trong ng\u00e0y. Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o MACD cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng MACD n\u1eb1m tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng Signal trong v\u00f9ng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c, trong khi s\u1ef1 co l\u1ea1i nh\u1eb9 c\u1ee7a bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 c\u1ed9t cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt sau \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 RSI n\u1eb1m g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c 60, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 cho xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u qu\u00e1 mua.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gi\u1eef m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 tr\u00ean m\u1ee9c m\u1edf c\u1eeda ng\u00e0y, quanh m\u1ed1c $4,300, s\u1ebd duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng th\u00eam, trong khi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u00e0m m\u0169 200 (200-EMA). S\u1ef1 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 MACD s\u1ebd c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 m\u1edf ra kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u0103ng cao h\u01a1n. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 RSI quanh m\u1ee9c 60 cho th\u1ea5y ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng, tuy nhi\u00ean, vi\u1ec7c gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c pivot trong ng\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u00edch l\u0169y.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold attracts fresh buyers during the Asian session on Wednesday, though it remains confined in a multi-day-old trading range amid mixed fundamental cues. The global risk sentiment remains on the defensive amid economic woes and fears of the AI bubble burst. Moreover, dovish US Federal Reserve expectations lend support to the non-yielding yellow metal, though &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-316-20251217\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Bulls await breakout through multi-day-old range amid Fed rate cut bets&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23453","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23453","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23453"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23453\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23464,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23453\/revisions\/23464"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23453"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23453"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23453"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}