{"id":23210,"date":"2025-08-22T04:31:05","date_gmt":"2025-08-22T04:31:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=23210"},"modified":"2025-08-22T04:31:05","modified_gmt":"2025-08-22T04:31:05","slug":"daily-commentary-261","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-261-20250822\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u00c0NG h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 SMA 100 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u c\u1ee7a Powell t\u1ea1i Jackson Hole"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>Nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u00e1n v\u00e0ng v\u1eabn n\u1eafm quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u, ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u c\u1ee7a Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Fed Powell t\u1ea1i H\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb chuy\u00ean \u0111\u1ec1 Jackson Hole.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 duy tr\u00ec m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng trong tu\u1ea7n, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ea7u l\u00e0 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u PMI m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3, k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng gi\u1ea3m v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c Fed s\u1ebd c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m c\u1ee7a Ph\u1ed1 Wall.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>R\u1ee7i ro gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi V\u00e0ng khi \u1edf d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c $3,350 trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh Bear Cross v\u00e0 RSI gi\u1ea3m.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111ang c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u sau khi \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i mu\u1ed9n h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 N\u0103m m\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e0. M\u1ecdi s\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u1ed5 d\u1ed3n v\u00e0o b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u c\u1ee7a Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang Hoa K\u1ef3 Jerome Powell t\u1ea1i H\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb Kinh t\u1ebf Jackson Hole.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 \u0111ang c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong hai tu\u1ea7n so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 ch\u00ednh, duy tr\u00ec t\u00e2m l\u00fd bi quan v\u1ec1 v\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0110\u1ed3ng b\u1ea1c xanh ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 do kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed) c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng t\u1edbi ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng th\u1ea5p. S\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i t\u00edch c\u1ef1c n\u00e0y trong k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 do m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, bao g\u1ed3m ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u00e0 \u1edf v\u00e0 kinh doanh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Doanh s\u1ed1 b\u00e1n nh\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 t\u1ea1i Hoa K\u1ef3 trong th\u00e1ng 7 t\u0103ng l\u00ean 4,01 tri\u1ec7u so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn l\u00e0 3,92 tri\u1ec7u, sau khi t\u0103ng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i 2,0% trong th\u00e1ng sau khi gi\u1ea3m 2,7% v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 6. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p PMI to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a S&amp;P Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong t\u00e1m th\u00e1ng v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 8, t\u0103ng t\u1eeb 55,1 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 7 l\u00ean 55,4, trong khi PMI s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 v\u01b0\u1ee3t \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh, v\u1edbi l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t l\u00e0 53,3 v\u00e0 55,4 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 8.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Theo C\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 FedWatch c\u1ee7a CME Group, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 c\u01b0\u1ee3c cho vi\u1ec7c Fed c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 75% sau d\u1eef li\u1ec7u PMI c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3, t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c kho\u1ea3ng 85% tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ngo\u00e0i ra, l\u00e0n s\u00f3ng b\u00e1n th\u00e1o \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra tr\u00ean c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 do lo ng\u1ea1i ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng v\u1ec1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 AI, l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m ni\u1ec1m tin c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0, l\u00e0m t\u0103ng s\u1ee9c h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng USD nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t n\u01a1i tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Fed Jerome Powell s\u1ebd gi\u1eef v\u1eefng l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng h\u01a1n n\u1eefa trong b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u khai m\u1ea1c c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng t\u1ea1i H\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb chuy\u00ean \u0111\u1ec1 Jackson Hole, d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn di\u1ec5n ra v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i ng\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nick Timiraos c\u1ee7a WSJ, ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u01b0a tin v\u1ec1 Fed, cho bi\u1ebft v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 n\u0103m r\u1eb1ng Powell c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 &quot;\u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c hai thay \u0111\u1ed5i ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch l\u1edbn c\u1ee7a n\u0103m 2020; trung b\u00ecnh l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t linh ho\u1ea1t v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p th\u1ea5p&quot;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nh\u1eefng l\u1eddi c\u1ee7a Powell c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ebfn k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Fed, cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a USD, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi g\u00e2y ra s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd xung quanh kim lo\u1ea1i s\u00e1ng kh\u00f4ng sinh l\u1eddi n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>N\u1ebfu Powell ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i k\u1ecbch li\u1ec7t vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o th\u00eam \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c cho \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng c\u1ee7a USD, \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ed1c $3.300. M\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea1c xanh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t b\u00e1n th\u00e1o m\u1edbi do Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Fed b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd chuy\u1ec3n sang quan \u0111i\u1ec3m \u00f4n h\u00f2a, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading has-vivid-red-color has-text-color has-small-font-size\">Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"402\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-15-1024x402.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23211\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-15-1024x402.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-15-300x118.png 300w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-15-768x301.png 768w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-15-1536x602.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-15-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-15.png 1594w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y r\u1ee7i ro v\u1eabn c\u00f2n \u1edf ph\u00eda gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi V\u00e0ng khi ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 RSI 14 ng\u00e0y gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 50.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bear Cross c\u0169ng duy tr\u00ec tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c. L\u01b0u \u00fd r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 21 ng\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 50 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Ba, x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn s\u1ef1 giao c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1. B\u00ean b\u00e1n c\u1ea7n t\u00ecm m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec3m t\u1ef1a v\u1eefng ch\u1eafc d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 100 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i $3,314 \u0111\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Xa h\u01a1n v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda nam, m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p ng\u00e0y 31 th\u00e1ng 7 l\u00e0 $3.274, b\u00ean d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p ng\u00e0y 30 th\u00e1ng 7 l\u00e0 $3.268 s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1eed nghi\u1ec7m tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng c\u1ea3n t\u00e2m l\u00fd $3.250.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>M\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, ng\u01b0\u1eddi mua v\u00e0ng c\u1ea7n v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 m\u1ea1nh g\u1ea7n $3.350, v\u00f9ng h\u1ee3p l\u01b0u c\u1ee7a \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 21 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 50 ng\u00e0y, \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u1ee7 nh\u1eadn b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n n\u00e0o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 ti\u1ebfp theo \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc l\u00e0 $3.375 v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c tr\u00f2n $3.400.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold is looking to extend the previous decline early Friday after Thursday\u2019s late rebound lost traction. All eyes now turn to US Fed Chair Jerome Powell\u2019s speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. The US Dollar is consolidating its recent recovery to two-week highs against its major currency rivals, keeping the bearish interests alive in &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-261-20250822\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;GOLD looks to 100-day SMA support and Powell\u2019s Jackson Hole speech&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23210","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23210","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23210"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23210\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23212,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23210\/revisions\/23212"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23210"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23210"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23210"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}