{"id":23161,"date":"2025-08-01T05:15:04","date_gmt":"2025-08-01T05:15:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=23161"},"modified":"2025-08-01T05:15:04","modified_gmt":"2025-08-01T05:15:04","slug":"daily-commentary-248","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-248-20250801\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u00c0NG t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o B\u1ea3ng l\u01b0\u01a1ng phi n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 v\u1ebb d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng khi xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c $3.300, c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 gi\u1ea3m th\u00eam m\u1ed9t tu\u1ea7n n\u1eefa v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 \u0111ang ti\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong hai th\u00e1ng khi m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf quan m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 l\u00e0m th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng chao \u0111\u1ea3o.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng duy tr\u00ec m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 SMA 100 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i $3.270, nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng duy tr\u00ec \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00e2u v\u00ec c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt v\u1eabn cho th\u1ea5y xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111ang c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 m\u1ee9c l\u1ed7 h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n trong khi v\u1eabn dao \u0111\u1ed9ng g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong th\u00e1ng l\u00e0 $3.268 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u, ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t d\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3, bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 NFP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1eabn gi\u1eef t\u00e2m l\u00fd tr\u00e1nh r\u1ee7i ro khi b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i tu\u1ea7n, do lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf m\u1edbi m\u00e0 T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Hoa K\u1ef3 Donald Trump \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 1 th\u00e1ng 8, \u0111\u00fang h\u1ea1n ch\u00f3t v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>V\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 n\u0103m, Trump \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf quan to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u l\u00e0 10%, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi t\u0103ng thu\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a Canada t\u1eeb 25% l\u00ean 35% \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m kh\u00f4ng thu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea1m vi th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i Hoa K\u1ef3-Mexico-Canada.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u00e3 \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf 39% \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u00e0ng nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u t\u1eeb Th\u1ee5y S\u0129. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 cho Mexico th\u1eddi h\u1ea1n 90 ng\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>H\u00e0ng lo\u1ea1t th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf quan m\u1edbi m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m ni\u1ec1m tin c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 khi h\u1ecd l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ed5 x\u00f4 t\u00ecm \u0111\u1ebfn USD nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t n\u01a1i tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i m\u1edbi v\u1ec1 thu\u1ebf quan k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a USD so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 ch\u00ednh, khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong th\u00e1ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>S\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd hi\u1ec7n nay chuy\u1ec3n sang b\u00e1o c\u00e1o quan tr\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng Hoa K\u1ef3, v\u1edbi d\u1eef li\u1ec7u NFP \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c theo d\u00f5i ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm ra g\u1ee3i \u00fd m\u1edbi v\u1ec1 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ti\u1ebfp theo trong n\u0103m nay.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Theo C\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 FedWatch c\u1ee7a CME Group, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Fed h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 l\u00e0 d\u01b0\u1edbi 50%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Hoa K\u1ef3 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o th\u00eam 110.000 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m trong th\u00e1ng 7 sau khi b\u00e1o c\u00e1o m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 147.000 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m trong th\u00e1ng 6. T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd t\u0103ng nh\u1eb9 l\u00ean 4,2% trong th\u00e1ng 7 t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c 4,1% tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Vi\u1ec7c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 d\u01b0\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng 100.000 v\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p t\u0103ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng suy y\u1ebfu, \u0111i ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Fed v\u00e0 g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea1c xanh. Trong k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n n\u00e0y, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i, h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi m\u1ed1c $3.400.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, m\u1ed9t b\u00e1o c\u00e1o NFP b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd tr\u00ean 150.000 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng USD, g\u00e2y b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i cho kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd n\u00e0y. D\u1eef li\u1ec7u vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m kh\u1ea3 quan c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd lo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed) s\u1ebd c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t hai l\u1ea7n trong n\u0103m nay.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0ng s\u1ebd ch\u00fa \u00fd ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn tr\u00ean m\u1eb7t tr\u1eadn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0 c\u00e1c b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u t\u1eeb c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Fed khi h\u1ecd tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i sau &quot;th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 c\u1ea5m v\u1eadn&quot;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading has-vivid-red-color has-text-color has-small-font-size\">Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"402\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-1024x402.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23162\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-1024x402.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-300x118.png 300w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-768x301.png 768w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-1536x602.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image.png 1594w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>V\u1edbi Bear Cross v\u1eabn \u0111ang ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (RSI) 14 ng\u00e0y n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh, xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng v\u1eabn c\u00f2n nguy\u00ean v\u1eb9n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0110\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 21 ng\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 xuy\u00ean th\u1ee7ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 50 ng\u00e0y t\u1eeb ph\u00eda tr\u00ean v\u00e0o phi\u00ean \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn Bear Cross.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Do \u0111\u00f3, vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a SMA 100 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i $3.270 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i cho xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m m\u1edbi v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 30 th\u00e1ng 6 l\u00e0 $3.248.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1eddi mua v\u00e0ng l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 20 th\u00e1ng 5 l\u00e0 $3.205.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i n\u00e0o c\u0169ng c\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 21 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 50 ng\u00e0y g\u1ea7n v\u00f9ng cung $3,340.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, m\u1ee9c t\u00e2m l\u00fd $3,300 ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>N\u1ebfu \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec, ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng c\u1ea3n ti\u1ebfp theo s\u1ebd xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 t\u0129nh $3,380.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold price is consolidating weekly losses while hanging close to monthly lows of $3,268 early Friday, awaiting a flurry of high-impact US data flow, including the NFP. Markets remain risk-averse heading into the weekend, taking account of the fresh tariffs hit by US President Donald Trump on the August 1 deadline day this Friday. Late &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-248-20250801\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;GOLD focusses on US Nonfarm Payrolls and weekly close&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23161","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23161","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23161"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23161\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23163,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23161\/revisions\/23163"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23161"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23161"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23161"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}