{"id":23158,"date":"2025-07-31T04:35:27","date_gmt":"2025-07-31T04:35:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=23158"},"modified":"2025-07-31T04:35:27","modified_gmt":"2025-07-31T04:35:27","slug":"daily-commentary-247","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-247-20250731\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u00c0NG t\u00ecm th\u1ea5y h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi t\u1ea1i SMA 100 ng\u00e0y trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111ang c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i ch\u1eadm ch\u1ea1p t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong th\u00e1ng g\u1ea7n $3,270 v\u00e0o s\u00e1ng th\u1ee9 n\u0103m.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 m\u1ea5t \u0111i m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 sau ph\u00e1n quy\u1ebft c\u1ee7a Fed khi c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9-Trung l\u1ea1i n\u1ed5i l\u00ean. \u00a0\u00a0<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng b\u1eadt l\u00ean t\u1eeb ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 SMA 100 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i $3.267, nh\u01b0ng thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y v\u1eabn cho th\u1ea5y xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111ang \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ee3t b\u00e1n th\u00e1o do th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang Hoa K\u1ef3 xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong th\u00e1ng l\u00e0 $3.268 v\u00e0o s\u00e1ng th\u1ee9 N\u0103m.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u00e1n v\u00e0ng \u0111ang t\u1ea1m ngh\u1ec9 sau khi gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh 1,5% v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, sau khi USD t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 ch\u00ednh \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng v\u1edbi quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh kh\u00f4ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee9ng r\u1eafn c\u1ee7a Fed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sau cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 7, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Fed \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecf phi\u1ebfu v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 9-2 \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t qu\u1ef9 li\u00ean bang trong kho\u1ea3ng t\u1eeb 4,25%-4,5%, k\u00e8m theo tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh &quot;t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n gia t\u0103ng&quot; trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf do thu\u1ebf quan c\u1ee7a T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Hoa K\u1ef3 Donald Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Fed Jerome Powell v\u1eabn gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 hai th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1c Fed kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u00ecnh t\u1ea1i cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp, \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t 25 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n. Trong cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp b\u00e1o sau cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch, Powell cho bi\u1ebft: &quot;Ch\u00fang t\u00f4i ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u00e0o v\u1ec1 th\u00e1ng 9&quot;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Do \u0111\u00f3, quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 l\u1eddi n\u00f3i c\u1ee7a Powell \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 c\u00f3 ph\u1ea7n di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u, khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Fed c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 l\u00e0 58%, theo C\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 FedWatch c\u1ee7a CME Group, so v\u1edbi kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 35% tr\u01b0\u1edbc k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a Fed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, trong phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 N\u0103m cho \u0111\u1ebfn nay, \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a USD do Fed th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111ang g\u1eb7p ph\u1ea3i tr\u1edf ng\u1ea1i t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng m\u1edbi li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c gia h\u1ea1n th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn \u0111\u00ecnh chi\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9-Trung, ngay c\u1ea3 khi M\u1ef9 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 c\u00e1c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u1edbi Th\u00e1i Lan v\u00e0 Campuchia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>T\u00e2n Hoa X\u00e3, m\u1ed9t c\u01a1 quan truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a tin v\u00e0o s\u00e1ng th\u1ee9 N\u0103m r\u1eb1ng &quot;m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 s\u00e2u xa v\u00e0 mang t\u00ednh c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac trong quan h\u1ec7 kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c - Hoa K\u1ef3 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft ch\u1ec9 sau m\u1ed9t \u0111\u00eam&quot;. B\u00e0i b\u00ecnh lu\u1eadn n\u00eau l\u00ean lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Hoa K\u1ef3 gia h\u1ea1n th\u1eddi h\u1ea1n \u00e1p thu\u1ebf quan \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 12 th\u00e1ng 8.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111ang ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c v\u1ecb th\u1ebf mua USD, t\u00e1i \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1edbc d\u1eef li\u1ec7u lao \u0111\u1ed9ng quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u, v\u1edbi B\u1ea3ng l\u01b0\u01a1ng phi n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p s\u1ebd l\u00e0 t\u00e2m \u0111i\u1ec3m ch\u00fa \u00fd sau b\u00e1o c\u00e1o ADP v\u00e0 GDP v\u1eefng ch\u1eafc v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>B\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u1ee7a ADP cho th\u1ea5y vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m trong khu v\u1ef1c t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng 104.000 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 7, ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c -23.000 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 6 v\u00e0 v\u01b0\u1ee3t xa k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u00e0 +78.000. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, GDP h\u00e0ng n\u0103m c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 t\u0103ng 3% trong qu\u00fd 2, t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh 2,4% v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m 0,5% trong k\u1ef3 tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nh\u00ecn v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda tr\u01b0\u1edbc, c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh v\u1ecb th\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edbc NFP v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ti\u00eau \u0111\u1ec1 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 quan tr\u1ecdng trong vi\u1ec7c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng, v\u1edbi ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng gi\u1ea3m v\u1eabn c\u00f2n trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading has-vivid-red-color has-text-color has-small-font-size\">Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"402\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-19-1024x402.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23159\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-19-1024x402.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-19-300x118.png 300w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-19-768x301.png 768w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-19-1536x602.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-19-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-19.png 1594w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 v\u1eabn chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi khi c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 giao c\u1eaft gi\u00e1 gi\u1ea3m.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0110\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 21 ng\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 xuy\u00ean th\u1ee7ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 50 ng\u00e0y t\u1eeb ph\u00eda tr\u00ean v\u00e0o phi\u00ean \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn Bear Cross. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 RSI 14 ng\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng nh\u1eb9 nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u1eefa, hi\u1ec7n \u1edf m\u1ee9c g\u1ea7n 43, cho th\u1ea5y gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng v\u1eabn l\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch &quot;b\u00e1n khi gi\u00e1 b\u1eadt l\u00ean&quot;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>N\u1ebfu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n SMA 100 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i $3.267 m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng, d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y, m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 30 th\u00e1ng 6 l\u00e0 $3.248 s\u1ebd b\u1ecb \u0111e d\u1ecda. L\u1eb1n ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi mua v\u00e0ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u00ecn th\u1ea5y \u1edf m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 20 th\u00e1ng 5 l\u00e0 $3.205.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ngo\u00e0i ra, b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i n\u00e0o c\u0169ng c\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn tr\u00ean v\u00f9ng cung SMA 21 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 SMA 50 ng\u00e0y g\u1ea7n $3,340.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng t\u00e2m l\u00fd $3.300 c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua. R\u00e0o c\u1ea3n ti\u1ebfp theo n\u1eb1m \u1edf ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 t\u0129nh $3.380.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold price is reversing a part of the US Fed monetary policy announcements-led sell-off to monthly lows of $3,268 early Thursday. Gold sellers are taking a breather after the steep 1.5% downfall witnessed on Wednesday, after the USD shot through the roof against its major currency rivals in reaction to the hawkish no-rate change decision &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-247-20250731\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;GOLD finds temporary support at 100-day SMA amid bearish technicals&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23158","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23158","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23158"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23158\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23160,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23158\/revisions\/23160"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23158"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23158"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23158"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}