{"id":23154,"date":"2025-07-30T05:43:17","date_gmt":"2025-07-30T05:43:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=23154"},"modified":"2025-07-30T05:43:17","modified_gmt":"2025-07-30T05:43:17","slug":"daily-commentary-246","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-246-20250730\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u00c0NG v\u1eabn k\u1eb9t trong ph\u1ea1m vi quen thu\u1ed9c khi GDP c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u00e0 Fed xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng duy tr\u00ec trong ph\u1ea1m vi h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n t\u1eeb $3.350-$3.300 tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u00e0 th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Fed. \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 gi\u1ea3m do ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi sau khi th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn EU-Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 trong tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y t\u0103ng gi\u00e1. \u00a0<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>V\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u00edt c\u1ea3n tr\u1edf nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng v\u1eabn l\u00e0 \u0111i xu\u1ed1ng.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111ang d\u1eadm ch\u00e2n t\u1ea1i ch\u1ed7 khi \u1edf d\u01b0\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 quan tr\u1ecdng $3,345 v\u00e0o s\u00e1ng th\u1ee9 T\u01b0 khi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch ch\u1ecdn c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ee9ng ngo\u00e0i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o quan tr\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang Hoa K\u1ef3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong ba tu\u1ea7n l\u00e0 $3.302, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng v\u1eabn \u0111ang g\u1eb7p kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n do c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch v\u1eabn c\u00f2n do d\u1ef1 v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng t\u1ea1o ra c\u00e1c v\u1ecb th\u1ebf m\u1edbi, d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n GDP qu\u00fd 1 c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 tr\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u00e1n quy\u1ebft c\u1ee7a Fed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nh\u1eefng r\u1ee7i ro s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 n\u00e0y d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 ph\u1ea1m vi v\u00e0 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ti\u1ebfp theo c\u1ee7a Fed tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng s\u1ebd t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed3ng USD v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng sinh l\u1eddi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Hoa K\u1ef3 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i 2,4% trong qu\u00fd 2 t\u00ednh theo n\u0103m, sau khi gi\u1ea3m 0,5% \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o trong qu\u00fd 1. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 PCE l\u00f5i qu\u00fd d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea1t 2,4% trong qu\u00fd 2 sau khi \u0111\u1ea1t 3,5% c\u1ee7a qu\u00fd tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>D\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u00e1ng th\u1ea5t v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 hai l\u1ea7n c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Fed trong n\u0103m nay, b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 9, khi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed3ng USD gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n trong khi gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng t\u0103ng. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111i ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng n\u00e0y, th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea1c xanh l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd b\u1ecb h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u00e1n quy\u1ebft quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a Fed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fed \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng r\u1ed9ng r\u00e3i s\u1ebd gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t qu\u1ef9 li\u00ean bang \u1edf m\u1ee9c 4,25%-4,5% v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 7 khi T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Hoa K\u1ef3 Donald Trump \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u1edbi h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u1edbn, th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng khi \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a thu\u1ebf quan \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u00e0 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ebd theo d\u00f5i ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd Tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 v\u00e0 ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u c\u1ee7a Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Fed Jerome Powell \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm g\u1ee3i \u00fd m\u1edbi v\u1ec1 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ti\u1ebfp theo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Theo C\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 FedWatch c\u1ee7a CME Group, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Fed s\u1ebd h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t 25 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 l\u00e0 64%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>C\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia v\u00e0 nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch trong ng\u00e0nh \u0111ang k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng nhi\u1ec1u Th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1c Fed, bao g\u1ed3m Christopher Waller, s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i khi Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Jerome Powell v\u00e0 h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c Fed c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i v\u00e0 quan s\u00e1t, theo t\u1edd Wall Street Journal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>S\u1ef1 chia r\u1ebd n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra khi m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1c c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 l\u1eddi k\u00eau g\u1ecdi c\u1ee7a Trump v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t nh\u1eb1m gi\u1eef cho \u1ee9ng c\u1eed vi\u00ean l\u00e2u n\u0103m c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Fed ti\u1ebfp theo c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>H\u01a1n hai Th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1c Fed b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed3ng quan \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng \u00f4n h\u00f2a, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng v\u1ed1n kh\u00f4ng h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, s\u1ef1 chia r\u1ebd nh\u01b0 v\u1eady c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean nghi ng\u1edd v\u1ec1 t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp c\u1ee7a Fed, g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c l\u00ean \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading has-vivid-red-color has-text-color has-small-font-size\">Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"402\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-18-1024x402.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23155\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-18-1024x402.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-18-300x118.png 300w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-18-768x301.png 768w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-18-1536x602.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-18-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-18.png 1594w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng v\u1eabn \u00edt nhi\u1ec1u gi\u1ed1ng nhau tr\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1ec1m cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a Fed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 v\u1ebb d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng khi v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 quan tr\u1ecdng t\u1ea1i $3,345. M\u1ee9c n\u00e0y l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec3m h\u1ed9i t\u1ee5 c\u1ee7a \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 21 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 50 ng\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o RSI 14 ng\u00e0y v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh, hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang \u1edf g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c 47, duy tr\u00ec ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1. N\u1ebfu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong ba tu\u1ea7n l\u00e0 $3.302, v\u00e0 d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng s\u1ebd ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0y 9 th\u00e1ng 7 l\u00e0 $3.283.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>M\u1ee9c ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng d\u00e0nh cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi mua V\u00e0ng n\u1eb1m \u1edf m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t ng\u00e0y 30 th\u00e1ng 6 l\u00e0 $3.248.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>M\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, vi\u1ec7c l\u1ea5y l\u1ea1i ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 m\u1ea1nh chuy\u1ec3n th\u00e0nh kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 t\u1ea1i $3.345 v\u00e0o phi\u00ean \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y l\u00e0 r\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>R\u00e0o c\u1ea3n ti\u1ebfp theo n\u1eb1m \u1edf m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 t\u0129nh $3.380 tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed1c $3.400.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold price is treading water while below the critical resistance of $3,345 early Wednesday as traders opt to remain on the sidelines ahead of the all-important US Fed monetary policy announcements. Despite the previous rebound from three-week lows of $3,302, Gold price is struggling as traders remain reluctant and refrain from creating fresh positions, anticipating &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-246-20250730\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;GOLD remains stuck in a familiar range as US GDP, Fed loom&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23154","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23154","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23154"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23154\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23156,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23154\/revisions\/23156"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23154"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23154"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23154"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}