{"id":23080,"date":"2025-06-27T04:31:02","date_gmt":"2025-06-27T04:31:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=23080"},"modified":"2025-06-27T04:31:02","modified_gmt":"2025-06-27T04:31:02","slug":"daily-commentary-229","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-229-20250627\/","title":{"rendered":"Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m m\u1edbi m\u1edf ra cho V\u00c0NG h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed9c ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t PCE c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul class=\"has-text-color wp-block-list\" style=\"color:#f40307\">\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 m\u1ee9c l\u1ed7 h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n d\u01b0\u1edbi $3,330 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u, ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t PCE c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c m\u1edbi.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m nh\u1edd s\u1ef1 l\u1ea1c quan v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i c\u1ee9ng r\u1eafn m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a Fed.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng ph\u1ea3i v\u1eadt l\u1ed9n v\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 SMA 50 ng\u00e0y, t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o m\u1ee9c \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh RSI h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111ang ch\u1ecbu l\u1ed7 h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u, v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng r\u1ee7i ro gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i l\u00ean tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi d\u1eef li\u1ec7u Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 PCE c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1. Khi USD c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 m\u1ee9c ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i qua \u0111\u00eam t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong h\u01a1n ba n\u0103m, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111ang th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y quan tr\u1ecdng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1eb7t b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 v\u1ecb th\u1ebf \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 V\u00e0ng v\u00e0 \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u01b0a th\u00edch c\u1ee7a Fed, Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 PCE c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i, d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 PCE c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i h\u00e0ng n\u0103m s\u1ebd t\u0103ng 2,3% v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 5, sau m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng 2,1% v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 4, trong khi tr\u00ean c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u00e0ng th\u00e1ng, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd t\u0103ng 0,1% v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 5, v\u1edbi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 th\u00e1ng 4. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 PCE c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i cao h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u01a1i d\u1eady l\u1ea1i k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng Fed Hoa K\u1ef3 s\u1ebd h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t s\u1edbm nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 7.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Fed c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 7 l\u00e0 21%, trong khi kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 l\u00e0 75%, theo Fed WatchTool c\u1ee7a CME Group.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Do \u0111\u00f3, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 then ch\u1ed1t trong vi\u1ec7c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m Fed c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ti\u1ebfp theo, t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng t\u00ednh b\u1eb1ng USD v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng sinh l\u1eddi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0110\u1ed3ng USD \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng giao d\u1ecbch hai chi\u1ec1u t\u1ed1t, gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 3\/2022, sau khi WSJ \u0111\u01b0a tin T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Trump \u0111ang c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 ng\u01b0\u1eddi k\u1ebf nhi\u1ec7m Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Fed Jerome Powell v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 9 ho\u1eb7c th\u00e1ng 10.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng suy \u0111o\u00e1n r\u1eb1ng cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Trump \u0111e d\u1ecda \u0111\u1ebfn uy t\u00edn c\u1ee7a Fed c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn m\u1ed9t ng\u01b0\u1eddi k\u1ebf nhi\u1ec7m \u00f4n h\u00f2a, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 &#039;v\u1ecbt qu\u00e8&#039;. C\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n n\u00e0y g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u1edbn l\u00ean \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea1c xanh \u0111\u00e3 t\u00ecm l\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ed7 \u0111\u1ee9ng sau khi m\u1ed9t ng\u01b0\u1eddi quen thu\u1ed9c v\u1edbi c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn c\u1ee7a Nh\u00e0 Tr\u1eafng n\u00f3i v\u1edbi Reuters v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 n\u0103m, &quot;Trump v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh ng\u01b0\u1eddi thay th\u1ebf Powell v\u00e0 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u00e0y v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n&quot;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading has-vivid-red-color has-text-color has-small-font-size\">Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"402\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/image-14-1024x402.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23081\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/image-14-1024x402.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/image-14-300x118.png 300w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/image-14-768x301.png 768w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/image-14-1536x602.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/image-14-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/image-14.png 1594w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Sau khi b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a SMA 50 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i $3,325 trong tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa \u0111ang th\u1eed th\u00e1ch m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n t\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m b\u00e1o ch\u00ed \u0111\u01b0a tin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>RSI 14 ng\u00e0y \u0111ang h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda nam b\u00ean d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u1eefa, hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch g\u1ea7n 46, cho th\u1ea5y ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 v\u1eabn c\u00f2n. Vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 SMA 50 ng\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m m\u1edbi, v\u1edbi c\u00e1nh c\u1eeda m\u1edf ra \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m tra m\u1ee9c Fibo 50% c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 4 t\u1ea1i $3.232.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, v\u00f9ng c\u1ea7u $3,295 s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i, \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 giao \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c Fibo 38,2% c\u1ee7a c\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>M\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u00ecn th\u1ea5y t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 50 ng\u00e0y, tr\u00ean \u0111\u00f3 ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng c\u1ea3n SMA 21 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i $3,354 s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1eed th\u00e1ch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Vi\u1ec7c l\u1ea5y l\u1ea1i SMA 21 ng\u00e0y l\u00e0 r\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i sau hai tu\u1ea7n suy y\u1ebfu. R\u00e0o c\u1ea3n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 ti\u1ebfp theo n\u1eb1m \u1edf m\u1ee9c Fibo 23,6% t\u1ea1i $3,377.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ng\u01b0\u1eddi mua v\u00e0ng sau \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd nh\u1eafm t\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng $3,400 m\u1ed9t khi ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 Fibo 23,6% b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold price is nursing weekly losses early Friday, with fresh downside risks emerging ahead of the US PCE Price Index data release. As the USD consolidates its overnight rebound from over three-year highs, Gold price challenges a critical daily support line. Traders refrain from placing any directional positions in the Greenback and Gold price before &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-229-20250627\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Fresh downside opening up for GOLD heading into the US PCE inflation test&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23080","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23080","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23080"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23080\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23082,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23080\/revisions\/23082"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23080"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23080"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23080"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}