{"id":23061,"date":"2025-06-17T06:01:49","date_gmt":"2025-06-17T06:01:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=23061"},"modified":"2025-06-17T06:01:49","modified_gmt":"2025-06-17T06:01:49","slug":"daily-commentary-223","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-223-20250617\/","title":{"rendered":"Xung \u0111\u1ed9t Israel-Iran th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y vi\u1ec7c mua V\u00c0NG gi\u1ea3m khi tr\u1ecdng t\u00e2m chuy\u1ec3n sang Fed"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul class=\"has-text-color wp-block-list\" style=\"color:#f40307\">\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng l\u1ea1i t\u00ecm th\u1ea5y ng\u01b0\u1eddi mua \u1edf m\u1ee9c g\u1ea7n $3,380 v\u00e0o s\u00e1ng s\u1edbm th\u1ee9 Ba, \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m c\u1ee7a th\u1ee9 Hai.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 do lo ng\u1ea1i m\u1edbi v\u1ec1 xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb gi\u1eefa Israel v\u00e0 Iran v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ti\u00eau \u0111\u1ec1 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>V\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng v\u1eabn l\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch &quot;mua khi gi\u00e1 gi\u1ea3m&quot; tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi Fed c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111ang \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ee3t tho\u00e1i lui tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong hai th\u00e1ng, h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau l\u1ea5y l\u1ea1i $3.400 trong c\u00e1c giao d\u1ecbch t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c1 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Ba. Nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i m\u1edbi v\u1ec1 xung \u0111\u1ed9t gi\u1eefa Israel v\u00e0 Iran v\u00e0 c\u00e1c b\u1ea3n c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y t\u00e2m l\u00fd xung quanh \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>M\u1ed9t l\u00e0n s\u00f3ng lo ng\u1ea1i r\u1ee7i ro m\u1edbi \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00e2u \u00c1 v\u00e0o s\u00e1ng s\u1edbm th\u1ee9 Ba sau c\u00e1c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o cho bi\u1ebft T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Hoa K\u1ef3 Donald Trump s\u1ebd r\u1eddi H\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb th\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec9nh c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o G7 s\u1edbm \u0111\u1ec3 quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i Washington DC.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fox News \u0111\u01b0a tin r\u1eb1ng Trump \u0111\u00e3 y\u00eau c\u1ea7u H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng An ninh Qu\u1ed1c gia Hoa K\u1ef3 chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb trong Ph\u00f2ng T\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh. Ti\u00eau \u0111\u1ec1 n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng th\u00eam d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n r\u1ee7i ro khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u suy \u0111o\u00e1n r\u1eb1ng Hoa K\u1ef3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u m\u1ed9t ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i Iran, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ed3ng minh c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh l\u00e0 Israel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa v\u1ed9i v\u00e3 t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm s\u1ef1 an to\u00e0n trong kho l\u01b0u tr\u1eef gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng, gi\u00e1 V\u00e0ng, trong khi v\u1eabn \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 s\u1ee9c h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn tr\u00fa \u1ea9n c\u1ee7a USD. S\u1ef1 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a USD d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 V\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, kim lo\u1ea1i s\u00e1ng n\u00e0y c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c an \u1ee7i b\u1edfi tin t\u1ee9c r\u1eb1ng Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u00e0 Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i b\u00ean l\u1ec1 H\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb th\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec9nh G7. Nh\u1eefng b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n v\u1ec1 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0 l\u1ef1c c\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0110\u1ed3ng b\u1ea1c xanh, cho ph\u00e9p gi\u00e1 V\u00e0ng duy tr\u00ec \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh n\u00e0y, m\u1ecdi s\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd \u0111\u1ed5 d\u1ed3n v\u00e0o th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang Hoa K\u1ef3 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn di\u1ec5n ra v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, v\u1edbi cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp k\u00e9o d\u00e0i hai ng\u00e0y b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u1ee9 Ba.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fed \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng r\u1ed9ng r\u00e3i s\u1ebd gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t qu\u1ef9 li\u00ean bang trong kho\u1ea3ng 4,25%-4,5% trong th\u00e1ng n\u00e0y, v\u1edbi kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Fed h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 l\u00e0 60%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 hai \u0111\u1ee3t c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t 25 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n (bps) v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m v\u00e0 do \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o kinh t\u1ebf c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt c\u1ee7a Fed, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 Dot Plot, s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem x\u00e9t k\u1ef9 l\u01b0\u1ee1ng c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi b\u00ecnh lu\u1eadn c\u1ee7a Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Jerome Powell \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 ph\u1ea1m vi v\u00e0 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ti\u1ebfp theo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>B\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i \u00f4n h\u00f2a n\u00e0o trong th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a Fed ho\u1eb7c trong c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y th\u00eam gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng mang l\u1ea1i l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c l\u1ea1i xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m c\u1ee7a USD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, tr\u1ecdng t\u00e2m v\u1eabn l\u00e0 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n (BoJ) v\u00e0 b\u00e1o c\u00e1o Doanh s\u1ed1 b\u00e1n l\u1ebb c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i ng\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>C\u00e1c th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a BoJ c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng do c\u1eb7p USD\/JPY g\u00e2y ra \u1edf \u0110\u1ed3ng b\u1ea1c xanh, cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 V\u00e0ng t\u00ednh theo USD. Nh\u01b0ng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf v\u00ec c\u00e1c ti\u00eau \u0111\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb Trung \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 c\u00e1c b\u1ea3n c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng v\u1eabn l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading has-vivid-red-color has-text-color has-small-font-size\">Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"402\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/image-8-1024x402.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23062\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/image-8-1024x402.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/image-8-300x118.png 300w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/image-8-768x301.png 768w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/image-8-1536x602.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/image-8-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/image-8.png 1594w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>V\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng v\u1eabn c\u00f2n nguy\u00ean v\u1eb9n khi ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 RSI 14 ng\u00e0y t\u0103ng cao h\u01a1n \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh, hi\u1ec7n \u1edf m\u1ee9c g\u1ea7n 57,50.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0110\u1ec3 c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng, vi\u1ec7c ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 t\u0129nh t\u1ea1i $3,440 l\u00e0 r\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau \u0111\u1ec9nh ti\u1ebfp theo \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong hai th\u00e1ng l\u00e0 $3.453, tr\u00ean \u0111\u00f3 m\u1ee9c cao k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c $3.500 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>N\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c, ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u00e1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 m\u1ea1nh tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 hi\u1ec7n l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u1ea1i $3,377, m\u1ee9c Fibo 23,6% c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>M\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec7m gi\u1ea3m ti\u1ebfp theo s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u0103n ch\u1ec9nh t\u1ea1i SMA 21 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $3,341 n\u1ebfu r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n t\u00e2m l\u00fd $3,350 b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold price is reversing a part of the previous pullback from two-month highs, looking to regain $3,400 in Asian trades on Tuesday. Renewed concerns over the Israel and Iran conflict and trade updates continue to drive the sentiment around the safe-haven US Dollar. A fresh risk-aversion wave hit Asian markets early Tuesday following reports that &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-223-20250617\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Israel-Iran conflict fuels dip-buy in GOLD as focus shifts to Fed&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23061","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23061","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23061"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23061\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23063,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23061\/revisions\/23063"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23061"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23061"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23061"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}