{"id":20551,"date":"2024-06-05T05:59:27","date_gmt":"2024-06-05T05:59:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=20551"},"modified":"2024-06-05T05:59:27","modified_gmt":"2024-06-05T05:59:27","slug":"daily-commentary-36","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-36-20240605\/","title":{"rendered":"B\u00ecnh lu\u1eadn h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y: Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, li\u1ec7u \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u00f4ng?"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul class=\"has-text-color wp-block-list\" style=\"color:#f40307\">\n<li><strong>V\u00e0o phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch s\u00e1ng th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean m\u1ee9c 2.340 USD nh\u1edd s\u1ef1 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a t\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"has-text-color wp-block-list\" style=\"color:#f40307\">\n<li><strong>Sau khi d\u1eef li\u1ec7u JOLTS c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 y\u1ebfu \u0111i, \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu kho b\u1ea1c M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh;<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"has-text-color wp-block-list\" style=\"color:#f40307\">\n<li><strong>Th\u1ee9 Ba, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 50 ng\u00e0y, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 RSI chuy\u1ec3n sang xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m;<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\" style=\"line-height:2\"><br>    V\u00e0o phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch s\u00e1ng th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i nh\u1eb9 l\u00ean m\u1ee9c 2.340 USD,sau khi \u0111\u00e3 ki\u1ec3m tra m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong ba tu\u1ea7n l\u00e0 2.315 USD v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o d\u1eef li\u1ec7u vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m ADP h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u PMI d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 ISM \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm manh m\u1ed1i m\u1edbi v\u1ec1 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed). Trong phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch ch\u00e2u \u00c1 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, \u0111\u1ed3ng USD m\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u PMI d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 Caixin c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c cho th\u1ea5y t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u t\u00edch c\u1ef1c, v\u00e0 t\u00e2m l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\" style=\"line-height:2\">    Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 PMI ng\u00e0nh d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c do S&amp;P Global v\u00e0 Caixin c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng t\u1eeb 52,5 trong th\u00e1ng 4 l\u00ean 54,0, v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 52,6. D\u1eef li\u1ec7u t\u00edch c\u1ef1c v\u1ec1 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c cho th\u1ea5y n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a qu\u1ed1c gia ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 v\u00e0ng l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111ang c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n.Ngo\u00e0i ra, tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u thay \u0111\u1ed5i vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m khu v\u1ef1c t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n ADP v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 PMI ng\u00e0nh d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 ISM, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0ng v\u1eabn gi\u1eef hy v\u1ecdng, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 sau khi m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf y\u1ebfu k\u00e9m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) s\u1ebd c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\" style=\"line-height:2\">     C\u1ee5c Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea Lao \u0111\u1ed9ng thu\u1ed9c B\u1ed9 Lao \u0111\u1ed9ng M\u1ef9 cho bi\u1ebft trong cu\u1ed9c \u0111i\u1ec1u tra JOLTS c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Ba, s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u1ecb tr\u00ed vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m tr\u1ed1ng - ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng nhu c\u1ea7u lao \u0111\u1ed9ng - \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m 296.000 v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng c\u1ee7a th\u00e1ng 4, xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 8.059.000, m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 2\/2021.D\u1eef li\u1ec7u do ISM c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Hai cho th\u1ea5y ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 PMI ng\u00e0nh s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb 49,2 trong th\u00e1ng 4 xu\u1ed1ng 48,7 trong th\u00e1ng 5, th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n m\u1ee9c d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn l\u00e0 49,6. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 thanh to\u00e1n trong ng\u00e0nh s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a ISM trong th\u00e1ng 5 \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng 57,0, so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 60,9 tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 v\u00e0 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn l\u00e0 60,0.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\" style=\"line-height:2\">    C\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 FedWatch c\u1ee7a CME cho th\u1ea5y th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hi\u1ec7n d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed) c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t 25 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 l\u00e0 kho\u1ea3ng 56%, trong khi x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Hai l\u00e0 52%. N\u1ebfu d\u1eef li\u1ec7u vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m ADP v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 PMI d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 ISM c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0o t\u1ed1i th\u1ee9 T\u01b0 khi\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ea5t v\u1ecdng,k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u00f4n h\u00f2a h\u01a1n c\u1ee7a Fed c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ed3ng USD v\u00e0 kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c t\u00e2m l\u00fd l\u1ea1c quan v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\" style=\"line-height:2\"><strong>\u9ec4\u91d1\u6280\u672f\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"402\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-18-1024x402.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-20552\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-18-1024x402.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-18-300x118.png 300w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-18-768x302.png 768w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-18-1536x603.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-18-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-18.png 1592w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\" style=\"line-height:2\">    T\u1eeb bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ea5y, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n 50 ng\u00e0y (SMA) v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Ba (khi \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 2.335 USD),v\u01b0\u1ee3t ra kh\u1ecfi v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 RSI 14 ng\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb \u00e2m d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 50, ch\u1ee9ng minh r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m l\u00e0 h\u1ee3p l\u00fd. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 b\u00e1n v\u00e0ng c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i duy tr\u00ec vi\u1ec7c ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong ba tu\u1ea7n l\u00e0 2.315 USD \u0111\u1ec3 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c 2.300 USD. N\u1ebfu ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m, gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t ng\u00e0y 3\/5 l\u00e0 2.277 USD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size\" style=\"line-height:2\">   M\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ee3t ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i n\u00e0o c\u0169ng c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 50 ng\u00e0y SMA (hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i l\u00e0 2.337 USD) \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1, nh\u1eb1m \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a 21 ng\u00e0y SMA (2.358 USD). Xem x\u00e9t k\u1ef9 h\u01a1n, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec9nh ng\u00e0y 24\/5 l\u00e0 2.364 USD,n\u1ebfu v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 2.400 USD, n\u01a1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh tam gi\u00e1c t\u0103ng d\u1ea7n chuy\u1ec3n th\u00e0nh kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5468\u4e09\u65e9\u76d8\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u8bd5\u56fe\u6e29\u548c\u53cd\u5f39\u81f3 2340 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u6b64\u524d\u4e00\u5929\u66fe\u6d4b\u8bd5\u4e86 2315 \u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4e09\u5468\u4f4e\u70b9\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u8f6c\u5411\u7f8e\u56fd\u9876\u7ea7 ADP \u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u548c ISM \u670d\u52a1\u4e1a PMI \u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u5bfb\u627e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u524d\u666f\u7684\u65b0\u7ebf\u7d22\u3002\u5468\u4e09\u4e9a\u6d32\u4ea4\u6613\u65f6\u6bb5\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u4f01\u7a33\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5931\u53bb\u590d\u82cf\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u8d22\u65b0\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a PMI \u6570\u636e\u8868\u73b0\u4e50\u89c2\uff0c\u98ce\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\u6709\u6240\u6539\u5584\u3002 \u4e2d\u56fd\u6807\u666e\u5168\u7403\u8d22\u65b0\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a PMI \u4ece 4 \u6708\u4efd\u7684 52.5 \u8dc3\u5347\u81f3 54.0\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u7684 52.6\u3002\u4ee4\u4eba\u9f13\u821e\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u548c\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u6d3b\u52a8\u6570\u636e\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u9ec4\u91d1\u6d88\u8d39\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8868\u73b0\u6b63\u5728\u6539\u5584\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5728 ADP \u79c1\u8425\u90e8\u95e8\u5c31\u4e1a\u53d8\u5316\u6570\u636e\u548c ISM \u670d\u52a1\u4e1a PMI \u516c\u5e03\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4e70\u5bb6\u4ecd\u62b1\u6709\u5e0c\u671b\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u6700\u8fd1\u51e0\u4efd\u75b2\u8f6f\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u91cd\u71c3\u4e86\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9 9 \u6708\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u964d\u606f\u7684\u9884\u671f\u3002 \u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u90e8\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u5468\u4e8c\u5728\u5176 JOLTS \u8c03\u67e5\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u804c\u4f4d\u7a7a\u7f3a\u5728 4 \u6708\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u5929\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86 29.6\u4e07\u4e2a\uff0c\u81f3 805.9\u4e07\uff0c\u4e3a 2021 \u5e74 2 \u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u3002ISM \u5468\u4e00\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5236\u9020\u4e1a PMI \u6307\u6570\u4ece 4 \u6708\u4efd\u7684 49.2 \u964d\u81f3 5 \u6708\u4efd\u7684 48.7\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u7684 49.6\u30025 \u6708\u4efd ISM \u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u652f\u4ed8\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570\u964d\u81f3 &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/daily-commentary-36-20240605\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;\u6bcf\u65e5\u6c47\u8bc4\uff1a\u9ec4\u91d1\u5728\u5173\u952e\u7f8e\u56fd\u6570\u636e\u516c\u5e03\u524d\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u52bf\u5934\u80fd\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u53bb\u5417\uff1f&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20551","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20551","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20551"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20551\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":20553,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20551\/revisions\/20553"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20551"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20551"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20551"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}