{"id":23938,"date":"2026-06-02T03:44:14","date_gmt":"2026-06-02T03:44:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=23938"},"modified":"2026-06-02T03:44:16","modified_gmt":"2026-06-02T03:44:16","slug":"daily-commentary-409","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/daily-commentary-409-20260602\/","title":{"rendered":"XAU\/USD diprediksi tetap bergejolak, namun dalam kisaran karena ketidakpastian Timur Tengah"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>Gold licks its wounds early Tuesday after correcting over 1% from two-week highs on Tuesday.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>The US Dollar pauses its decline as hostilities continue between Israel and Lebanon, casting doubts on US-Iran peace talks.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Technically, Gold looks to test the key 200-day SMA support at $4,417 amid bearish daily RSI.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Gold\u00a0is nursing losses below $4,500 early Tuesday after correcting over 1% from two-week highs of $4,595 set on Monday.<\/p>\n<p>Despite the recent pullback, Gold remains stuck within a familiar range as the ongoing peace negotiations between the United States (US) and Iran offer some comfort to buyers on one hand.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, on the other hand, continued hostilities between Israel and Lebanon thwart the ceasefire arrangement in the Middle East, keeping the haven demand intact for the US Dollar (USD).<\/p>\n<p>US President Donald Trump\u00a0told ABC News on Tuesday that he thinks there will be a deal with\u00a0Iran\u00a0to extend the ceasefire and reopen the\u00a0Strait of Hormuz\u00a0\u201cover the next week,\u201c according to a post from the outlet on X.<\/p>\n<p>In contrast, the Iranian state media reported on Monday that Tehran had\u00a0suspended message exchanges\u00a0with Washington amid\u00a0Israel\u2019s continued assault on\u00a0Lebanon.<\/p>\n<p>The Israeli military said it has intercepted two rockets launched from\u00a0Lebanon\u00a0into Israeli territory. This came after Hezbollah claimed several attacks on Israeli targets in south Lebanon late on Monday, even after Trump said the Iran-backed militia had agreed that\u00a0\u201call shooting will stop\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Further, the latest downtick in Oil prices, following the conciliatory remarks from Trump, helps limit the downside in Gold for now.<\/p>\n<p>However, no signs of an end to the Israel-Lebanon conflict could put the US-Iran peace negotiations in danger, which will likely reinforce fresh selling interest in the bright metal.<\/p>\n<p>Gold also remains vulnerable amid increased hawkish bets on the US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate outlook, as inflation concerns persist and oil prices remain elevated.<\/p>\n<p>The Greenback also remains supported by strong US ISM PMI data released on Monday, which showed the headline Manufacturing PMI rose to 54 in May from 52.7 in April.<\/p>\n<p>Looking ahead, Mideast headlines will continue to drive risk sentiment and the dynamics of USD and Gold price action, while traders will also await the release of JOLTS Job Openings data for a fresh take on the state of the US labor market before Friday\u2019s Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) showdown.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"390\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-02-4-1024x390.png\" alt=\"Gold Technical Analysis\" class=\"wp-image-23939\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-02-4-1024x390.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-02-4-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-02-4-768x292.png 768w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-02-4-1536x585.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-02-4-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-02-4.png 1647w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>In the daily chart, XAU\/USD trades at $4,481.09, keeping a bearish near-term bias as price holds under a stack of declining moving averages. Spot remains capped beneath the 21-day simple moving average (SMA) at roughly $4,578.92 and the 50-day SMA near $4,629.55, while the longer-term 100-day SMA around $4,800.84 and a broader downward resistance trend line overhead reinforce the medium-term downtrend. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 41.62 sits below the neutral 50 line, hinting that downside pressure still outweighs buying interest despite the proximity to longer-term support.<\/p>\n<p>On the downside, initial support is offered by the 200-day SMA at $4,416.65, where buyers could attempt to stabilize the decline; a clean break under this level would likely expose a deeper corrective phase. On the topside, bulls would first need to reclaim the 21-day SMA at $4,578.92, with the 50-day SMA at $4,629.55 acting as the next barrier; only a sustained recovery toward the 100-day SMA around $4,800.84 and above the descending trend line would meaningfully challenge the prevailing bearish structure.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold licks its wounds early Tuesday after correcting over 1% from two-week highs on Tuesday. The US Dollar pauses its decline as hostilities continue between Israel and Lebanon, casting doubts on US-Iran peace talks. Technically, Gold looks to test the key 200-day SMA support at $4,417 amid bearish daily RSI. Gold\u00a0is nursing losses below $4,500 &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/daily-commentary-409-20260602\/\" class=\"more-link\">Lanjutkan membaca<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;XAU\/USD set to remain volatile, but within range amid Mideast uncertainty&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23938","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23938","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23938"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23938\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23940,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23938\/revisions\/23940"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23938"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23938"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23938"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}