{"id":23762,"date":"2026-04-17T05:20:42","date_gmt":"2026-04-17T05:20:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=23762"},"modified":"2026-04-17T05:20:43","modified_gmt":"2026-04-17T05:20:43","slug":"daily-commentary-376","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/daily-commentary-376-20260417\/","title":{"rendered":"EMAS di level penentu nasib, menunggu kejelasan pembicaraan damai AS-Iran"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>Gold sellers retain control for the third straight day on Friday after failing consistently above $4,800.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>The US Dollar holds recovery from six-week lows amid uncertainty over the US-Iran peace talks and Oil price rebound.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Gold teases falling wedge breakout amid bearish crossovers and neutral RSI; eyes on weekly close.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Gold is extending its range play below $4,800 early Friday, having failed to sustain above that level for the third consecutive day. Traders stay cautious, awaiting clarity on the next step in the US-Iran peace talks as the bullion heads for the fourth straight weekly gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With the US-Iran two-week ceasefire set to end on April 22, investors remain unnerved over the timing and the outcome of the next round of peace talks, leaving Gold price gyrating in a familiar range.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The upside attempts in Gold remain capped by the recent rebound in Oil prices as supply disruption concerns persist amid a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Surging Oil prices restoke inflationary concerns, calling for monetary policy tightening from major central banks, including the US Federal Reserve (Fed).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Additionally, a modest recovery in the US Dollar (USD from near six-week troughs also acts as a headwind for the USD-denominated Gold.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, the downside in the bright metal remains cushioned by a 10-day truce announced between Israel and Lebanon, with investors staying hopeful for a near-term resolution to the war in the Middle East. The renewed market optimism curbs the Greenback\u2019s demand as a safe-haven asset, supporting Gold.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Heading into the weekend, Gold awaits a fresh directional impetus, remaining at the mercy of the developments in the Mideast war front.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Additionally, the end-of-the-week flows could play out and drive Gold price movements amid a lack of clarity on the likely US-Iran peace talks and the durability of the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire agreement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gold\u2019s technical setup on the daily chart also appears interesting, leaving all eyes on technicals alongside geopolitics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading has-vivid-red-color has-text-color has-small-font-size\" id=\"h-daily-technical-analysis\">Analisis teknis harian<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"379\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-8-1024x379.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23782\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-8-1024x379.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-8-300x111.png 300w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-8-768x285.png 768w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-8-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-8.png 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>In the daily chart, XAU\/USD trades at $4,789.50. The metal is caught between medium-term support and overhead supply, holding above the 21-day and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs) at roughly $4,646 and $4,715 while still capped by the 50-day SMA at $4,897 and a descending resistance trend line coming in near $4,792. The Relative Strength Index (14) around 51 suggests neutral momentum with a mild positive bias, hinting at consolidation rather than a directional breakout while price hovers just under the trend resistance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, a 21-day SMA and 100-day SMA Bear Cross confirmed on April 13, as well as the March 25 Bear Cross, continue to temper Gold&#8217;s upside.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the topside, immediate resistance is the descending trend line at about $4,792, and a daily close above it would expose the 50-day SMA at $4,897 as the next hurdle for bulls. On the downside, initial support emerges at the 100-day SMA near $4,715, with a broader rising trend-line area around the mid-$4,500s reinforcing underlying demand ahead of the 21-day SMA at approximately $4,646; only a sustained break below these layers would open the way toward the distant 200-day SMA support near $4,215.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold is extending its range play below $4,800 early Friday, having failed to sustain above that level for the third consecutive day. Traders stay cautious, awaiting clarity on the next step in the US-Iran peace talks as the bullion heads for the fourth straight weekly gain. With the US-Iran two-week ceasefire set to end on &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/daily-commentary-376-20260417\/\" class=\"more-link\">Lanjutkan membaca<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;GOLD at a make-or-break level, awaits clarity on US-Iran peace talks&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23762","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23762","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23762"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23762\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23786,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23762\/revisions\/23786"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23762"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23762"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23762"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}