{"id":22552,"date":"2024-12-13T06:22:19","date_gmt":"2024-12-13T06:22:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=22552"},"modified":"2024-12-13T06:22:19","modified_gmt":"2024-12-13T06:22:19","slug":"daily-commentary-141","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/daily-commentary-141-20241213\/","title":{"rendered":"\u9ec4\u91d1\u591a\u5934\u4e70\u5bb6\u4ecd\u672a\u653e\u5f03"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul class=\"has-text-color wp-block-list\" style=\"color:#f40307\">\n<li><strong>\u91d1\u4ef7\u5468\u4e94\u65e9\u76d8\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u6b64\u524d\u5468\u56db\u4ece 2.726 \u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4e94\u5468\u9ad8\u70b9\u56de\u8c03\u3002<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"has-text-color wp-block-list\" style=\"color:#f40307\">\n<li><strong>\u7f8e\u56fd PPI \u6570\u636e\u8868\u73b0\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u63d0\u632f\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8 12 \u6708\u964d\u606f\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u652f\u6491\u7f8e\u5143\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u3002<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"has-text-color wp-block-list\" style=\"color:#f40307\">\n<li><strong>\u7531\u4e8e\u6bcf\u65e5 RSI \u4fdd\u6301\u770b\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u4e14 50 \u65e5 SMA \u4fdd\u6301\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u6709\u671b\u91cd\u56de 2,700 \u7f8e\u5143\u53ca\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7ee7\u5468\u4e09\u77ed\u6682\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u6709\u671b\u5728\u5468\u4e94\u65e9\u76d8\u6062\u590d\u672c\u5468\u7684\u53cd\u5f39\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u8fbe\u5230\u6bcf\u6708\u9ad8\u70b9 2.726 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u5468\u672b\u524d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u76f8\u5bf9\u6e05\u6de1\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u4e00\u8d77\u5de9\u56fa\u8fd1\u671f\u6da8\u5e45\u3002\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0b\u5468\u5c06\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u9884\u671f\u63a8\u52a8\u7f8e\u5143\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u5468\u4e09\u518d\u5ea6\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u4ece\u6570\u6708\u9ad8\u70b9\u5f00\u59cb\u56de\u8c03\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5e02\u573a\u73b0\u5728\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u80fd\u5728 1 \u6708\u4efd\u6682\u505c\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u6b64\u524d\u9884\u671f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5c06\u5728 12 \u6708 17 \u65e5\u81f3 18 \u65e5\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u964d\u606f 25 \u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9 (bps)\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570 (PPI) \u6570\u636e\u597d\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f20\u9012\u51fa\u5f3a\u786c\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u300211 \u6708 PPI \u5e74\u5ea6\u589e\u957f 3.0%\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u7684 2.6% \u7684\u589e\u957f\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6838\u5fc3 PPI \u5e74\u5ea6\u6570\u636e\u540c\u671f\u4e0a\u6da8 3.4%\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u9884\u671f\u7684 3.2%\u3002\u6708\u5ea6 PPI \u548c\u6838\u5fc3 PPI \u5206\u522b\u4e0a\u6da8 0.4% dan 0.2%\u3002CME\u7684 FedWatch \u5de5\u5177\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5df2\u5145\u5206\u6d88\u5316\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0b\u5468\u964d\u606f 25 \u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u9884\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u9e3d\u6d3e\u964d\u606f\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u906d\u9047\u629b\u552e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u4e5f\u4ece\u4e2d\u83b7\u76ca\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u672c\u5468\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u56e0\u503a\u5238\u62cd\u5356\u5f3a\u52b2\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u652f\u6491\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\u5468\u56f4\u7684\u4eba\u6c14\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u91d1\u4ef7\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5468\u4e94\u8fc4\u4eca\u4e3a\u6b62\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4e2d\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u62c5\u5fe7\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u523a\u6fc0\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\u6d88\u9000\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u6b63\u5728\u83b7\u5f97\u65b0\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u300a\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u65e5\u62a5\u300b\u5728\u4e00\u7bc7\u5c01\u95ed\u62a5\u9053\u4e2d\u62a5\u9053\u79f0\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f00\u59cb\u901a\u8fc7\u90e8\u7f72\u975e\u5173\u7a0e\u63aa\u65bd\u6765\u62a5\u590d\u5373\u5c06\u4e0a\u4efb\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5728\u5f53\u5929\u665a\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u6ca1\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u9876\u7ea7\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u4ece\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u4e2d\u83b7\u53d6\u7ebf\u7d22\u3002\u672c\u5468\u672b\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u6d41\u52a8\u548c\u4e0b\u5468\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u653f\u7b56\u51b3\u5b9a\u524d\u7684\u91cd\u65b0\u5b9a\u4f4d\u4e5f\u5c06\u5728\u63a8\u52a8\u91d1\u4ef7\u65b9\u9762\u53d1\u6325\u4f5c\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading has-vivid-red-color has-text-color has-small-font-size\"><strong>\u9ec4\u91d1\u6bcf\u65e5\u6280\u672f\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"402\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/image-10-1024x402.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-22554\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/image-10-1024x402.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/image-10-300x118.png 300w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/image-10-768x302.png 768w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/image-10-1536x603.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/image-10-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/image-10.png 1592w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5468\u56db\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u5728\u9ad8\u4f4d\u906d\u9047\u963b\u529b\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u5468\u4e94\u65e9\u76d8\u5728 50 \u65e5\u7b80\u5355\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u7ebf (SMA) 2.671 \u7f8e\u5143\u5904\u627e\u5230\u652f\u6491\u300214 \u65e5\u76f8\u5bf9\u5f3a\u5f31\u6307\u6570 (RSI) \u4e5f\u518d\u6b21\u51fa\u73b0\u4e0a\u884c\uff0c\u5e76\u4fdd\u6301\u5728 50 \u6c34\u5e73\u4e0a\u65b9\u3002\u5982\u679c\u91d1\u4ef7\u6062\u590d\u590d\u82cf\u52bf\u5934\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u91cd\u65b0\u6d4b\u8bd5\u6570\u5468\u9ad8\u70b9 2.726 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u6b64\u4e4b\u4e0a\uff0c\u5fc3\u7406\u969c\u788d\u548c 11 \u6708 5 \u65e5\u9ad8\u70b9\u7684\u4ea4\u6c47\u70b9 2.750 \u7f8e\u5143\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u5757\u96be\u5543\u7684\u9aa8\u5934\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u672a\u80fd\u65e5\u7ebf\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u5b88\u4f4f 50 \u65e5 SMA \u652f\u6491\u4f4d 2.671 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5c06\u4fc3\u4f7f\u5356\u5bb6\u518d\u6b21\u7784\u51c6 21 \u65e5 SMA 2.650 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u9ec4\u91d1\u4e70\u5bb6\u7684\u6700\u5f8c\u4e00\u9053\u9632\u7ebf\u662f\u4e0a\u5468\u7684\u4f4e\u70b9 2.613 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Setelah fluktuasi singkat pada hari Rabu, harga emas diperkirakan akan kembali melanjutkan momentum kenaikan minggu ini pada sesi awal Jumat, mencapai level tertinggi bulanan di 2.726 dolar AS. Data ekonomi menjelang akhir pekan relatif sepi, sehingga dolar AS dan imbal hasil obligasi pemerintah AS sama-sama mengkonsolidasikan kenaikan yang terjadi belakangan ini.Ekspektasi kenaikan suku bunga oleh Federal Reserve minggu depan mendorong dolar AS dan imbal hasil obligasi pemerintah AS kembali menguat pada hari Rabu, sementara harga emas mengalami koreksi dari level tertinggi dalam beberapa bulan terakhir. Pasar kini berpendapat bahwa The Fed mungkin akan menunda kenaikan suku bunga pada Januari, setelah sebelumnya diperkirakan akan menurunkan suku bunga sebesar 25 basis poin (bps) pada rapat kebijakan 17\u201318 Desember, terutama setelah data Indeks Harga Produsen AS (PPI) AS lebih baik dari perkiraan, yang mungkin mengirimkan sinyal hawkish. PPI tahunan bulan November tumbuh 3,0%, lebih tinggi dari perkiraan pasar sebesar 2,6%. Sementara itu, data PPI inti tahunan pada periode yang sama naik 3,4%,melebihi perkiraan sebesar 3,2%. PPI bulanan dan PPI inti masing-masing naik sebesar 0,4% dan 0,2%. Alat FedWatch dari CME menunjukkan bahwa pasar telah sepenuhnya mencerna ekspektasi penurunan suku bunga sebesar 25 basis poin oleh The Fed pada minggu depan. Di sisi lain, di tengah langkah pemotongan suku bunga yang dovish oleh Bank Sentral Eropa (ECB), pasangan mata uang euro\/dolar AS mengalami aksi jual, dan dolar AS pun diuntungkan dari situasi tersebut. Selain itu, imbal hasil obligasi pemerintah AS naik tajam pekan ini berkat lelang obligasi yang kuat, yang menopang sentimen positif terhadap dolar AS sekaligus membatasi tren kenaikan harga emas. Dalam perdagangan Jumat ini, seiring meningkatnya kekhawatiran terkait perang dagang AS-Tiongkok dan memudarnya optimisme terhadap paket stimulus Tiongkok, harga emas mulai mendapatkan permintaan baru. *The Wall Street Journal* melaporkan dalam sebuah artikel eksklusif bahwa Tiongkok telah mulai membalas tarif yang diberlakukan oleh Presiden AS terpilih Donald Trump melalui penerapan langkah-langkah non-tarif. Dengan tidak adanya rilis data ekonomi AS utama pada hari itu, pasar akan terus mencari petunjuk dari sentimen pasar yang lebih luas. Arus dana akhir pekan ini dan penyesuaian posisi menjelang keputusan kebijakan The Fed minggu depan juga akan berperan dalam mendorong harga emas. Analisis Teknis Harian Emas: Pada hari Kamis, harga emas menemui resistensi di level tertinggi, kemudian turun, dan pada awal perdagangan Jumat menemukan support di level rata-rata pergerakan sederhana (SMA) 50 hari sebesar 2.671 dolar AS. Indeks Kekuatan Relatif (RSI) 14 hari (RSI) 14 hari juga kembali menunjukkan tren naik dan tetap berada di atas level 50. Jika harga emas kembali menguat, kemungkinan akan menguji ulang level tertinggi beberapa pekan terakhir di 2.726 dolar AS, dan di atas level tersebut, hambatan psikologis serta \u2026 <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/daily-commentary-141-20241213\/\" class=\"more-link\">Lanjutkan membaca<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> \u201cPembeli emas masih belum menyerah\u201d<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22552","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22552","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22552"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22552\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":22555,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22552\/revisions\/22555"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22552"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22552"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meisheng.asia\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22552"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}